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Record W4408430951 · doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu25-13954

“Short” or “Long” Hettangian? Astronomical chronometry on the duration of lower Jurassic Hettangian stage and the recovery dynamics following the end – Triassic mass extinction. 

2025· preprint· en· W4408430951 on OpenAlexaff
Micha Ruhl, Weimu Xu, Ricardo Silva, Robert J. Raine, Robbie Goodhue

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldEarth and Planetary Sciences
TopicGeological and Geophysical Studies
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Manitoba
Fundersnot available
KeywordsStage (stratigraphy)Duration (music)GeologyPaleontologyPhysics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The end-Triassic mass extinction (ETME) and global climatic perturbation coincide with the onset of Central Atlantic Magmatic Province (CAMP) emplacement. The associated perturbation to the global carbon cycle is reflected by a ~ 3 – 6 ‰ negative carbon isotope excursion (CIE) coinciding with the ETME. The magnitude and duration of the negative CIE are however poorly constrained. Furthermore, the Early Jurassic Hettangian stage, marking the initial recovery phase following the end-Triassic mass extinction, has been the subject of significant debate over its precise timing and duration. Estimated Hettangian stage durations derived from cyclostratigraphic and U-Pb geochronological analyses vary between a ‘short Hettangian’ of 1.8 – 2.5 Myr, and a ‘long Hettangian’ of 3.9 – 4.4 Myr. Poor time constraints for the Triassic–Jurassic interval impact understanding of the timing and rate of biogeochemical cycling, environmental and biological recovery after the end-Triassic mass extinction, and global climatic perturbation.We here conducted carbon isotopic and cyclostratigraphic analysis of the well-preserved, biostratigraphically complete, and expanded Hettangian succession in the Carnduff-2 core of the Larne Basin (Northern Ireland), nearby the Waterloo Bay outcrop. The studied sedimentary succession (~120 m in core) stratigraphically spans the upper Rhaetian (upper Triassic), including the end-Triassic mass extinction, Hettangian, and lower Sinemurian (lower Jurassic), and consists of predominantly mudstone, with varying degrees of limestone and silt throughout the succession. Cyclostratigraphic analyses of elemental and carbonate concentration data show a hierarchy of dominant frequencies, interpreted to reflect long and short eccentricity, obliquity, and precession. These observations suggest a total duration of ~2.2 Myr for the Hettangian Stage with a sedimentation rate of ~ 4.1 cm/kyr, confirming the ‘short-Hettangian’ hypothesis. The negative carbon isotope excursion (CIE) duration, which coincides with the ETME, is estimated at ~290 kyr. The first occurrence of the Jurassic ammonite Psiloceras tillmanni, marking the onset of Hettangian biotic recovery after the ETME across the British Isles, ~320 kyr after the end-Triassic negative CIE, suggesting a prolonged period of biotic demise in response to CAMP induced climatic and environmental upheaval at this time.Key Words: end-Triassic mass extinction, Early Jurassic, Hettangian stage, Milankovitch cycles 

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.004
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow), Science and technology studies, Research integrity, Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow), Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.625
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0040.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0020.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0020.002
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0020.002
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0020.001
Research integrity0.0010.003
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0090.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.034
GPT teacher head0.248
Teacher spread0.214 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; both teacher heads agree on what is shown here.

Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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