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Record W4408439285 · doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu25-5474

The importance of oceanic emissions for modelling Arctic aerosols and clouds

2025· preprint· en· W4408439285 on OpenAlexaff
Rémy Lapere, Louis Marelle, A. C. HADDON, Nadja Steiner, Jean‐Christophe Raut, Jennie L. Thomas

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicAtmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Victoria
Fundersnot available
KeywordsEnvironmental scienceArcticThe arcticClimatologyAtmospheric sciencesMeteorologyOceanographyGeographyGeology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Emissions of primary aerosols and aerosol precursors from the ocean are key for the Arctic climate. Among those, secondary aerosols from oceanic dimethylsulfide (DMS) are a key species for aerosol-radiation and aerosol-cloud interactions. However, the representation of DMS in atmospheric models is challenging, which generates large uncertainties in the Arctic aerosol budget. In this work we evaluate the sensitivity of simulated Arctic aerosols and clouds in the WRF-Chem atmospheric chemistry model, over a complete annual cycle, to (1) the representation of DMS chemistry in the atmosphere and (2) the oceanic DMS concentration product used as boundary condition. For (2), we compare the results obtained using the Lana et al. (2011) global climatology versus dedicated simulations of the Arctic Ocean biogeochemistry with NEMO-CSIB. We find that aerosol number concentrations can change by up to more than 100%, including over sea ice, depending on the model configuration, with a greater sensitivity to the chemistry mechanism than to the oceanic DMS product. This change is negative in the summer, which leads to decreased cloud droplet number and increased (decreased, respectively) shortwave (longwave, respectively) radiation at the surface over sea ice. The opposite effect is found in late spring and autumn. Overall, we find that using a more complex chemistry and better description of Arctic Ocean DMS has an impact on the surface energy budget of +4 W/m2 on average for the year 2018, both over sea ice and the open ocean. This configuration also performs best compared to observations. Additional experiments evaluating the changes of aerosol number under future oceanic DMS concentrations, potential emissions of DMS through sea ice, and the role of methanesulfonic acid (MSA) nucleation in summertime aerosol number concentration are presented. This work demonstrates the importance of accurately modeling DMS for simulations of the Arctic aerosol budget and climate, and the value-added of forcing atmospheric models with ocean biogeochemistry simulations.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.109
Threshold uncertainty score0.217

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.001
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.014
GPT teacher head0.237
Teacher spread0.222 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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