Investigating the impact of multidimensional sleep traits on cardiovascular diseases and the mediating role of depression
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Observational studies have reported that sleep is associated with the risk of major depressive disorder (MDD) and cardiovascular diseases (CVDs). However, the causal relationships among various sleep traits remain contentious, and whether MDD mediates the impact of specific sleep traits on CVDs is unclear. METHODS: We performed two-sample Mendelian randomisation analyses to explore whether insomnia, sleep time, daytime napping, daytime sleepiness, chronotype, snoring or obstructive sleep apnoea were causally associated with the risk of five CVDs, including coronary artery disease (CAD), myocardial infarction (MI), heart failure (HF), atrial fibrillation and stroke. Mediation analyses were performed to assess the proportion mediated by MDD. RESULTS: Genetically predicted insomnia, short sleep, daytime napping and daytime sleepiness increased the risk of CVDs, with the OR ranging from 1.24 (95% CI 1.06 to 1.45) for insomnia on stroke to 1.55 (95% CI 1.28 to 1.89) for insomnia on MI. In contrast to short sleep, genetically predicted sleep duration decreased the risk of CAD (OR 0.88 (95% CI 0.80 to 0.97)), MI (OR 0.89 (95% CI 0.80 to 0.99)) and HF (OR 0.90 (95% CI 0.83 to 0.98)). However, we found no significant associations of long sleep, chronotype, snoring and obstructive sleep apnoea with increased risk for any CVD subtype. Additionally, the effect of insomnia was partially mediated by MDD for the risk of CAD (proportion mediated: 8.81% (95% CI 1.20% to 16.43%)), MI (9.17% (95% CI 1.71% to 16.63%)) and HF (14.46% (95% CI 3.48% to 25.45%)). Similarly, the effect of short sleep was partially mediated by MDD for the risk of CAD (8.92% (95% CI 0.87% to 16.97%)), MI (11.43% (95% CI 0.28% to 22.57%)) and HF (12.65% (95% CI 1.35% to 23.96%)). MDD also partially mediated the causal effects of insomnia on stroke, sleep duration on CAD, MI and HF, daytime napping on HF and daytime sleepiness on CAD. CONCLUSIONS: Our study provides evidence that genetically predicted insomnia, short sleep, frequent daytime napping and sleepiness are associated with a higher risk of certain CVD subtypes, partly mediated by MDD.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".