The Sudden Stratospheric Warming Events in the Antarctic in 2024
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract In July and August 2024, two consecutive stratospheric sudden warming (SSW) events (termed SW07 and SW08) occurred over Antarctic, both featuring a rapid 17°C temperature rise at 10 hPa and significant stratospheric polar vortex (SPV) deceleration. SW07 occurred at the earliest winter time of the year recorded in the satellite era (1979 to present). The study found that, strong blocking highs affected stratospheric warming via nonlinear planetary wave prior to SW07, and the substantial sea ice loss over Antarctic Ross Sea and Amundsen Sea likely created favorable conditions for the formation of these blocking highs. Furthermore, the stratospheric preconditioning significantly amplified the intensity of the planetary waves. A downward‐propagating negative Southern Annular Mode (SAM) signal after SW07 supported blocking highs, creating a favorable circulation for planetary wave perturbations prior to SW08. In addition, enhanced ozone transport from low latitudes to the pole during SW07 and SW08 contributed to ozone recovery.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".