Electricity prices through the lens of sentiments for the UN and the IMF: An asymmetric approach for Türkiye
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
This study examines the impact of the tone used in communication by two major international organizations, the United Nations (UN) and the International Monetary Fund (IMF), on electricity prices in Türkiye , an energy-dependent developing country with the highest-growing energy demand among member countries of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). The empirical findings reveal that the effect of the communication tone of the two organizations on electricity prices differs, such that the IMF has a larger impact. Because of the significant impact of the communication tone by the IMF and the UN on the Turkish electricity market, the main policy recommendations to ensure energy security in Türkiye are decreasing dependence on the global markets, increasing credibility via sound domestic macroeconomic policymaking, increasing the share of renewable energy, and initiating a battery energy storage system .
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it