Central and peripheral adiposity and premenopausal breast cancer risk: a pooled analysis of 440,179 women
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Among premenopausal women, higher body mass index (BMI) is associated with lower breast cancer risk, although the underlying mechanisms are unclear. Investigating adiposity distribution may help clarify impacts on breast cancer risk. This study was initiated to investigate associations of central and peripheral adiposity with premenopausal breast cancer risk overall and by other risk factors and breast cancer characteristics. METHODS: We used individual-level data from 14 prospective cohort studies to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for premenopausal breast cancer using Cox proportional hazards regression. Analyses included 440,179 women followed for a median of 7.5 years (interquartile range: 4.0-11.3) between 1976 and 2017, with 6,779 incident premenopausal breast cancers. RESULTS: All central adiposity measures were inversely associated with breast cancer risk overall when not controlling for BMI (e.g. for waist circumference, HR per 10 cm increase: 0.92, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.90-0.94) whereas in models adjusting for BMI, these measures were no longer associated with risk (e.g. for waist circumference: HR 0.99, 95% CI: 0.95-1.03). This finding was consistent across age categories, with some evidence that BMI-adjusted associations differed by breast cancer subtype. Inverse associations for in situ breast cancer were observed with waist-to-height and waist-to-hip ratios and a positive association was observed for oestrogen-receptor-positive breast cancer with hip circumference (HR per 10 cm increase: 1.08, 95% CI: 1.10-1.14). For luminal B, HER2-positive breast cancer, we observed an inverse association with hip circumference (HR per 10 cm: 0.84, 95% CI: 0.71-0.98), but positive associations with waist circumference (HR per 10 cm: 1.18, 95% CI: 1.03-1.36), waist-to-hip ratio (HR per 0.1 units: 1.29, 95% CI: 1.15-1.45) and waist-to height ratio (HR per 0.1 units: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.17-1.84). CONCLUSIONS: Our analyses did not support an association between central adiposity and overall premenopausal breast cancer risk after adjustment for BMI. However, our findings suggest associations might differ by breast cancer hormone receptor and intrinsic subtypes.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.005 | 0.005 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.003 | 0.006 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.003 | 0.004 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".