Research on Data-Driven Demand Forecasting and Service Optimisation Model for Electricity Users’ Behaviours
Bibliographic record
Abstract
This paper proposes a user electricity data mining method based on deep learning and improved locust optimization algorithm, and at the same time adopts the Pearson correlation coefficient method to reduce its dimension to improve the data mining effect of linear weighted KFCM algorithm. In order to deal with the electricity demand of massive electricity customers, the user electricity demand forecasting model is constructed based on the Extreme Learning Machine ELM algorithm by combining the relationship between short-term loads and factors of electricity customers. Construct the service optimization model with the maximization of benefit index as the objective function, and use the BAS algorithm to solve the optimal solution in order to achieve the effect of user service optimization. Determine the experimental platform and model parameters, and carry out an example analysis of demand forecasting and service optimization for electricity users.C class users have a small electricity load except for breakfast and dinner, and the maximum time period of the electricity load is from 18:00 to 20:00 hours. Combined with MAPE, the ELM model improves 4.57% than SVR, 21.9% than LSTM, and 34.37% than ARIMA, which indicates that the ELM model is more effective and higher in demand forecasting for electricity users. In addition, the optimal solution of the effect of the BAS algorithm is 69 yuan, 102 yuan and 49 yuan higher than that of the GA algorithm in terms of dividend transmission benefit, energy saving and emission reduction benefit, and electricity right trading benefit, respectively, and the optimal solution based on the BAS algorithm is closer to the actual benefit value, which fully proves the effectiveness of the service optimization model based on the BAS algorithm.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".