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Record W4409795004 · doi:10.61091/jcmcc127b-418

Machine Learning Based Return Prediction for Digital Financial Portfolios

2025· article· en· W4409795004 on OpenAlexvenueno aff

Bibliographic record

VenueJournal of Combinatorial Mathematics and Combinatorial Computing · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldDecision Sciences
TopicStock Market Forecasting Methods
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersLongdong UniversityGansu Education Department
KeywordsComputer scienceArtificial intelligenceMachine learningFinanceBusiness

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

With the continuous growth of the national economy and the expansion of market demand, traditional inance has gradually turned to digital transformation, and the emergence of digital inance has brought new breakthroughs to the economy.With the continuous development of the times, in order to meet the needs of the market, digital inance and commercial investment are constantly integrated.Therefore, this paper selects the returns and risks of digital inancial investment as the research topic, and predicts the investment returns of the ive major online banks by analyzing the digital inancial portfolio investment return prediction system.The machine learning algorithm is introduced to optimize the digital inancial portfolio investment return prediction system.The investment return rate is predicted by the optimized digital inancial portfolio investment return prediction system, and then compared with the actual investment return rate.The experimental results show that the predicted value of the traditional digital inancial portfolio investment return prediction system for the online bank inancial management return rate differs from the actual return rate by 1%-2%, while the predicted value range of the digital inancial portfolio investment return prediction system for the online bank inancial management return rate is the same as the luctuation range of the actual return rate.From the experimental data, it can be seen that the digital inancial portfolio investment return prediction system based on machine learning can effectively improve the prediction ability of the digital inancial portfolio investment return prediction system, making the predicted value closer to the actual value and increasing the reliability of the prediction.This paper provides reference value for the optimization and improvement of the digital inancial portfolio investment return prediction system and contributes to the development of digital inance.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.011
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.047
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMetaresearch, Meta-epidemiology (narrow)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: Theoretical or conceptual
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.620
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0110.047
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.036
GPT teacher head0.334
Teacher spread0.298 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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