Evidence That Metapopulation Dynamics Maintain a Species' Range Limit
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The metapopulation hypothesis for range limits proposes that geographic variation in a species' extinction from and/or colonisation of habitat can generate an abrupt range limit. We tested whether this contributes to the northern range limit of coastal dune plant Camissoniopsis cheiranthifolia by quantifying suitable habitat area and the rates of extinction and colonisation across 3485 plots throughout the northern half of the species' range. Colonisation of previously unoccupied plots increased with suitable habitat area and abundance in nearby plots and consequently declined towards the range limit. Extinction was more frequent from plots with less habitat and lower initial abundance but did not increase significantly towards the limit. Incorporating spatial variation in estimated rates of colonisation and extinction in a metapopulation model predicted a decline in plot occupancy towards the limit that closely matched the observed decline in occupancy. Thus, variation in metapopulation dynamics may contribute to this species' range limit.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.040 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; both teacher heads agree on what is shown here.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".