Association of a Novel Index of Early-life Growth Conditions With Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Phenotype and Prognosis
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Rationale Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) manifests later in life and is a leading cause of death worldwide. While smoking-related lung pathology is a long-recognized COPD etiotype, emerging evidence suggests that early-life growth conditions also play an important role. A recently-developed index of early-life growth conditions – the difference between attained height and genotype-predicted height (height-GaP) – has been validated against prospectevely ascertained adverse early-life growth conditions. This study used height-GaP to evaluate the association of early-life growth conditions with COPD phenotype and prognosis later in life. Methods Among current and former smokers with spirometry-defined COPD in the SubPopulations and Intermediate Outcomes Measures in COPD Study (SPIROMICS), we computed height-GaP as the difference between attained height and genotype-predicted height. Regression models were fit for respiratory mortality (defined by primary diagnostic code), dyspnea prevalence (Medical Research Council dyspnea rating >1), chronic bronchitis prevalence, airflow obstruction severity as quantified by FEV1Q, and functional capacity (six-minute walk distance), adjusting for age, age2, sex, race-ethnicity, genotype-predicted height, cigarette smoking status and pack-years. Sensitivity analyses accounted for competing risks of death (Fine-Gray subdistribution hazard model) and accounted for later-life height loss (restricting sample to participants under 50 years). Results Among 1,258 participants with COPD (mean±SD age: 65.4±8.0 years, 42.4% female, mean±SD pack-years: 53.6±28.2, mean±SD FEV1%: 63.3±23.9%), there were 202 respiratory deaths over a median 7.5 years of follow-up (Figure). Larger height-GaP deficit was associated with higher respiratory mortality (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]: 1.30 [95%CI: 1.12 to 1.50] per 1-SD increment in height-GaP deficit). This association remained significant after accounting for competing events (p=0.001) and when restricted to participants under 50 years (p=0.032). Larger height-GaP deficit was associated with higher dyspnea prevalence (adjusted prevalence ratio: 1.13 [95%CI: 1.02 to 1.25] per 1-SD increment in height-GaP deficit), lower FEV1Q (adjusted mean difference: -0.37 [95%CI: -0.45 to -0.29] per 1-SD height-GaP deficit), and shorter 6-minute walk (adjusted mean difference: -16.6 m [95%CI: -23.1 m to -10.0 m] per 1-SD increment in height-GaP deficit), but not chronic bronchitis or CAT score ≥10 (p>0.05 for each). Conclusions Among current and former smokers with COPD, a quantitative index of early-life conditions was associated with higher respiratory mortality, in addition to dyspnea, airflow obstruction severity and reduced functional capacity. These results suggest that early-life growth conditions may influence COPD phenotype and prognosis later in life.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.004 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".