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Record W4410375332 · doi:10.1002/ece3.71398

Short‐ and Long‐Term Growth Response to Multiple Drought Episodes: Evidence of Genetic Adaptation in a Conifer Species

2025· article· en· W4410375332 on OpenAlexafffundabout
Jaime Sebastian‐Azcona, Eduardo P. Cappa, Letitia Da Ros, Blaise Ratcliffe, Charles Chen, Xiaojing Wei, Yang Liu, Shawn D. Mansfield, Andreas Hamann, Yousry A. El‐Kassaby, Barb R. Thomas

Bibliographic record

VenueEcology and Evolution · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEarth and Planetary Sciences
TopicTree-ring climate responses
Canadian institutionsUniversity of British ColumbiaUniversity of Alberta
FundersUniversity of AlbertaGenome British ColumbiaGenome AlbertaAlberta Agriculture and ForestryForest Resource Improvement Association of AlbertaGenome CanadaAlberta InnovatesUniversity of Calgary
KeywordsHeritabilityContext (archaeology)BiologyPsychological resilienceAdaptation (eye)Drought toleranceEcologyClimate changePinus contortaLocal adaptationDendrochronologyIndex selectionSelection (genetic algorithm)DemographyEvolutionary biologyAgronomyPopulationPsychology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

ABSTRACT Drought tolerance of tree species is a concern in the context of climate change, and tree ring analyses can be used to assess past growth response(s), to drought events. In the current study, we applied this approach to 1281 individuals with known pedigree in long‐term genetic test plantations of lodgepole pine in western Canada. We assessed resistance, resilience, and recovery metrics, and analyzed their causal relationships with long‐term growth and susceptibility to disease through structural equation modeling. We found that trees with low short‐term resilience to drought events also experienced severe reductions in long‐term growth. Narrow‐sense heritability of drought tolerance metrics was low for short‐term responses at specific sites, while a new long‐term decline index for families showed moderate heritability ( of 0.15 to 0.30 ± 0.03). We also detected evidence of local adaptation, with trees from lower elevation showing better drought adaptation. We conclude that the selection of genotypes for drought tolerance is possible, and that other species or populations could be screened using this method. We also note that the new long‐term decline index developed in this study shows a higher degree of genetic control than other metrices, and may therefore be of broader interest in dendrochronological research.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.027
Threshold uncertainty score0.991

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.024
GPT teacher head0.253
Teacher spread0.229 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations2
Published2025
Admission routes3
Has abstractyes

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