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Record W4410382979 · doi:10.1093/mnras/staf759

The eccentricity distribution of warm sub-Saturns in <i>TESS</i>

2025· article· en· W4410382979 on OpenAlexaff
Tyler R. Fairnington, Jiayin Dong, Chelsea X. Huang, Emma Nabbie, George Zhou, D. J. Wright, Karen A. Collins, Jon M. Jenkins, David W. Latham, G. Ricker, Samuel N. Quinn, Sara Seager, Avi Shporer, R. Vanderspek, Joshua N. Winn, Calvin Ajizian, Akihiko Fukui, David Baker, G. Conzo, Robert Scott Fisher, Raquel Forés-Toribio, Tianjun Gan, A. Garmash, Kai Ikuta, Adam Lark, Jerome de Leon, Katherine Linnenkohl, Christopher R. Mann, Owen Mitchem, M. Mori, J. A. Muñoz, Norio Narita, Adam Popowicz, Don J. Radford, Justus Randolph, Fabian Rodriguez Frustaglia, Richard P. Schwarz, Chris Stockdale, Jiaqi Wang, Noriharu Watanabe, Francis P. Wilkin, Krzysztof Sz Zieliníski, E. Esparza-Borges, F. Murgas, Ε. Πάλλη, H. Parviainen, Selçuk Yalçınkaya, Ö. Bastürk

Bibliographic record

VenueMonthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldPhysics and Astronomy
TopicAstro and Planetary Science
Canadian institutionsNational Research Council CanadaHerzberg Institute of Astrophysics
FundersDivision of Arctic SciencesAgencia Estatal de InvestigaciónJapan Society for the Promotion of ScienceMinisterio de Ciencia e InnovaciónHeising-Simons FoundationJapan Science and Technology CorporationMassachusetts Institute of TechnologyGordon and Betty Moore FoundationNational Science Foundation
KeywordsPhysicsEccentricity (behavior)AstronomyDistribution (mathematics)AstrophysicsMathematical analysis

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

ABSTRACT We present the eccentricity distribution of warm sub-Saturns (4–8 $R_{\rm{\oplus }}$, 8–200 d periods) as derived from an analysis of transit light curves from NASA’s Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite (TESS) mission. We use the ‘photoeccentric’ effect to constrain the eccentricities of 76 planets, comprising 60 and 16 from single and multitransiting systems, respectively. We employ Hierarchical Bayesian Modelling to infer the eccentricity distribution of the population, testing both a Beta and Mixture Beta distribution. We identify a few highly eccentric (${e\sim 0.7-0.8}$) warm sub-Saturns with eccentricities that appear too high to be explained by disc migration or planet–planet scattering alone, suggesting high-eccentricity migration may play a role in their formation. The majority of the population have a mean eccentricity of $\bar{e} = 0.103^{+0.047}_{-0.045}$, consistent with both planet–disc and planet–planet interactions. Notably, we find that the highly eccentric sub-Saturns occur in single-transiting systems. This study presents the first evidence at the population level that the eccentricities of sub-Saturns may be sculpted by dynamical processes.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.006
Threshold uncertainty score0.012

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.003
GPT teacher head0.188
Teacher spread0.185 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations2
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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