DESI DR2 results. II. Measurements of baryon acoustic oscillations and cosmological constraints
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
We present baryon acoustic oscillation (BAO) measurements from more than 14 million galaxies and quasars drawn from the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) Data Release 2 (DR2), based on three years of operation. For cosmology inference, these galaxy measurements are combined with DESI Lyman- <a:math xmlns:a="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"> <a:mi>α</a:mi> </a:math> forest BAO results presented in a companion paper (M. Abdul-Karim , companion paper, .). The DR2 BAO results are consistent with DESI DR1 and the Sloan Digital Sky Survey, and their distance-redshift relationship matches those from recent compilations of supernovae (SNe) over the same redshift range. The results are well described by a flat <c:math xmlns:c="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"> <c:mi mathvariant="normal">Λ</c:mi> </c:math> cold dark matter ( <f:math xmlns:f="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"> <f:mi mathvariant="normal">Λ</f:mi> <f:mi>CDM</f:mi> </f:math> ) model, but the parameters preferred by BAO are in mild, <i:math xmlns:i="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"> <i:mn>2.3</i:mn> <i:mi>σ</i:mi> </i:math> tension with those determined from the cosmic microwave background (CMB), although the DESI results are consistent with the acoustic angular scale <k:math xmlns:k="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"> <k:msub> <k:mi>θ</k:mi> <k:mo>*</k:mo> </k:msub> </k:math> that is well measured by Planck. This tension is alleviated by dark energy with a time-evolving equation of state parametrized by <m:math xmlns:m="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"> <m:msub> <m:mi>w</m:mi> <m:mn>0</m:mn> </m:msub> </m:math> and <o:math xmlns:o="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"> <o:msub> <o:mi>w</o:mi> <o:mi>a</o:mi> </o:msub> </o:math> , which provides a better fit to the data, with a favored solution in the quadrant with <q:math xmlns:q="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"> <q:msub> <q:mi>w</q:mi> <q:mn>0</q:mn> </q:msub> <q:mo>></q:mo> <q:mo>−</q:mo> <q:mn>1</q:mn> </q:math> and <s:math xmlns:s="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"> <s:msub> <s:mi>w</s:mi> <s:mi>a</s:mi> </s:msub> <s:mo><</s:mo> <s:mn>0</s:mn> </s:math> . This solution is preferred over <u:math xmlns:u="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"> <u:mi mathvariant="normal">Λ</u:mi> <u:mi>CDM</u:mi> </u:math> at <x:math xmlns:x="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"> <x:mn>3.1</x:mn> <x:mi>σ</x:mi> </x:math> for the combination of DESI BAO and CMB data. When also including SNe, the preference for a dynamical dark energy model over <z:math xmlns:z="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"> <z:mi mathvariant="normal">Λ</z:mi> <z:mi>CDM</z:mi> </z:math> ranges from <cb:math xmlns:cb="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"> <cb:mn>2.8</cb:mn> <cb:mo>−</cb:mo> <cb:mn>4.2</cb:mn> <cb:mi>σ</cb:mi> </cb:math> depending on which SNe sample is used. We present evidence from other data combinations which also favor the same behavior at high significance. From the combination of DESI and CMB we derive 95% upper limits on the sum of neutrino masses, finding <eb:math xmlns:eb="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"> <eb:mo>∑</eb:mo> <eb:msub> <eb:mi>m</eb:mi> <eb:mi>ν</eb:mi> </eb:msub> <eb:mo><</eb:mo> <eb:mn>0.064</eb:mn> <eb:mtext> </eb:mtext> <eb:mtext> </eb:mtext> <eb:mi>eV</eb:mi> </eb:math> assuming <gb:math xmlns:gb="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"> <gb:mi mathvariant="normal">Λ</gb:mi> <gb:mi>CDM</gb:mi> </gb:math> and <jb:math xmlns:jb="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"> <jb:mo>∑</jb:mo> <jb:msub> <jb:mi>m</jb:mi> <jb:mi>ν</jb:mi> </jb:msub> <jb:mo><</jb:mo> <jb:mn>0.16</jb:mn> <jb:mtext> </jb:mtext> <jb:mtext> </jb:mtext> <jb:mi>eV</jb:mi> </jb:math> in the <lb:math xmlns:lb="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"> <lb:msub> <lb:mi>w</lb:mi> <lb:mn>0</lb:mn> </lb:msub> <lb:msub> <lb:mi>w</lb:mi> <lb:mi>a</lb:mi> </lb:msub> </lb:math> model. Unless there is an unknown systematic error associated with one or more datasets, it is clear that <nb:math xmlns:nb="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"> <nb:mi mathvariant="normal">Λ</nb:mi> <nb:mi>CDM</nb:mi> </nb:math> is being challenged by the combination of DESI BAO with other measurements and that dynamical dark energy offers a possible solution.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it