Nivolumab (NIVO) plus ipilimumab (IPI) vs chemotherapy (chemo) or NIVO monotherapy for microsatellite instability-high/mismatch repair-deficient (MSI-H/dMMR) metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC): Expanded analyses from CheckMate 8HW.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
3501 Background: In the phase 3 CheckMate 8HW study (NCT04008030), both dual primary endpoints of progression-free survival (PFS) for first-line (1L) NIVO + IPI vs chemo (HR 0.21; P < 0.0001) and NIVO + IPI vs NIVO across all lines (HR 0.62; P = 0.0003) in patients (pts) with centrally confirmed MSI-H/dMMR mCRC were met. We report expanded analyses of NIVO + IPI vs NIVO (all lines) and longer follow-up results for NIVO + IPI vs chemo (1L). Methods: The study design was described previously. Pts with MSI-H/dMMR per local testing were enrolled. After randomization, IHC and PCR based tests were used for central confirmation. PFS2 (time from randomization to progression after subsequent systemic therapy, start of second subsequent systemic therapy, or death) was a key exploratory endpoint. Results: In all randomized pts (all lines), 296 of 354 (84%) in the NIVO + IPI arm, 286 of 353 (81%) in the NIVO arm, and 113 of 132 (86%) in the chemo arm had centrally confirmed MSI-H/dMMR. In all randomized 1L pts, 171 of 202 (85%) in the NIVO + IPI arm and 84 of 101 (83%) in the chemo arm had centrally confirmed MSI-H/dMMR. Median follow-up was 47.0 mo (range 16.7–60.5). 1L NIVO + IPI continued to show PFS benefit vs chemo (Table). Subsequent systemic therapy was received by 27 (16%) and 61 (73%) pts after 1L NIVO + IPI and chemo, respectively; 10 (6%) and 21 (25%) received subsequent non-study immunotherapy. In the 1L chemo arm, 39 (46%) pts crossed over to NIVO + IPI on study. PFS2 continued to favor 1L NIVO + IPI vs chemo (Table). Across all lines, NIVO + IPI demonstrated superior PFS vs NIVO (Table). Subsequent systemic therapy was received by 54 (18%) pts in the NIVO + IPI arm and 83 (29%) in the NIVO arm; 20 (7%) and 31 (11%) received subsequent non-study immunotherapy. PFS2 favored NIVO + IPI vs NIVO across all lines of therapy (Table). In all treated pts, grade 3/4 treatment-related adverse events occurred in 78 (22%) and 50 (14%) pts in the NIVO + IPI and NIVO arms, respectively. Additional analyses will be presented. Conclusions: NIVO + IPI demonstrated sustained clinical benefit vs chemo (1L) and NIVO (all lines) despite use of subsequent therapy, as shown by improved PFS2 in pts with centrally confirmed MSI-H/dMMR mCRC. No new safety signals were observed. These results support NIVO + IPI as a standard of care treatment for MSI-H/dMMR mCRC. Clinical trial information: NCT04008030 . Centrally confirmed MSI-H/dMMR (1L) NIVO + IPI(n = 171) Chemo(n = 84) Median PFS (95% CI), mo 54.1 (54.1–NE) 5.9 (4.4–7.8) HR (95% CI) 0.21 (0.14–0.31) Median PFS2 (95% CI), mo NR (NE–NE) 30.3 (15.2–NE) HR (95% CI) 0.28 (0.18–0.44) Centrally confirmed MSI-H/dMMR (all lines) NIVO + IPI (n = 296) NIVO (n = 286) Median PFS (95% CI), mo NR (53.8–NE) 39.3 (22.1–NE) HR (95% CI) 0.62 (0.48-0.81); P = 0.0003 Median PFS2 (95% CI), mo NR (NE–NE) NR (NE–NE) HR (95% CI) 0.57 (0.42–0.78) NE, not evaluable; NR, not reached.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.004 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".