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Optimizing Treatment Strategies and Risk Stratification in Tibial Fractures: A Meta-Analysis of Fixation Timing, Modality, and Fracture Classification on Acute Compartment Syndrome Risk.

2025· preprint· en· W4410954000 on OpenAlexaffabout
Yazan Jumah Alalwani, Ahmed Khaled Almarri, Khalid Abdullah Alkhalid, Leen Albraik, Abdurrahman Sami Seraj, Aseel Mustafa Andijany, Layan Albraik, Raghad Yaser Sonbul, Ahmed Y. Azzam

Bibliographic record

VenueF1000Research · 2025
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicBone fractures and treatments
Canadian institutionsArtificial Intelligence in Medicine (Canada)
Fundersnot available
KeywordsOpen peer reviewPlant biologyRisk stratificationMedicineTibial fractureCompartment (ship)Intensive care medicineInternal medicineTibiaSurgeryBiologyGeology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

<ns5:p> Introduction Acute compartment syndrome (ACS) following tibial fractures can lead to permanent neuromuscular dysfunction and limb amputation if not rapidly diagnosed and treated a correct manner. The risk factors for ACS development in detailed classified manner remain limited, and the management strategies to minimize risk are controversial. We conducted this meta-analysis to quantify ACS risk factors and evaluate the impact of treatment modalities on ACS incidence in tibial fractures. Methods We searched multiple literature scientific databases up to 17 <ns5:sup>th</ns5:sup> of April 2025. Primary studies that investigated ACS risk factors in tibial fractures were included. We conducted random and fixed-effects meta-analyses, subgroup analyses, and meta-regression to estimate the risk factors and treatment effects. Study quality was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. Results Seventeen studies with total of 274,962 patients and 10,019 ACS cases met our inclusion criteria. Delayed fixation after 24 hours was associated with 67% reduced ACS risk (OR: 0.33, 95% CI: 0.19-0.58) compared to early fixation, with strongest effects in young males with plateau fractures. Proximal tibial fractures demonstrated significantly higher risk than shaft or distal fractures (OR: 2.02, 95% CI: 1.53-2.66). Male patients had higher risk with two to four folds across age groups. External fixation showed protective effects versus immediate internal fixation, especially for plateau fractures (OR: 0.46, 95% CI: 0.27-0.79). Meta-regression identified fracture type, injury mechanism, and patient demographics explaining 67% of treatment effect variance. Conclusion Our study results are going in an opposite direction to the standard approach of early fixation for tibial fractures, suggesting that delayed fixation or temporary spanning external fixation may significantly reduce ACS risk in high-risk patients. A patient tailored risk-stratified treatment algorithm considering fracture location, patient demographics, and injury mechanism could optimize management according to individual profile to reduce the risk of ACS development furtherly. </ns5:p>

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.629
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0020.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.157
GPT teacher head0.433
Teacher spread0.276 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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