The effect of environmental voter mobilization on voter turnout and environmental attitudes: evidence from a field experiment in British Columbia, Canada
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Environmental organizations play an active role in electoral politics, yet these interventions have received far less study than the movement’s efforts at public persuasion or policy advocacy. We examine the effect of environmental voter mobilization on turnout and attitudes among supporters of a Canadian environmental organization. Through a field experiment during the 2017 British Columbia election, we evaluate two prevalent types of get-out-the-vote (GOTV) conversations – a regular GOTV conversation focused on vote plan-making, and an issue GOTV conversation that first engaged respondents in a personal discussion about environmentalism. For both GOTV interventions, we estimate a positive yet borderline significant effect on turnout. Neither GOTV intervention strengthened environmental attitudes, and the regular GOTV intervention may have even decreased en-vironmental issue salience. Our research illuminates the challenges that climate advocates face in mobilizing their constituents, while demonstrating their potential for influence on the electorate.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".