Comparative association between NAFLD and MAFLD with cardiovascular events and mortality: Evidence from observational studies
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) are increasingly recognized as multisystemic conditions with significant extrahepatic manifestations. Although both diseases have been linked to cardiovascular events and mortality, the strength of these associations remains controversial. This review aims to compare the risks of cardiovascular disease (CVD) events in individuals with NAFLD and MAFLD. METHODS: The PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library databases were searched to identify studies investigating the risk of CVD, CVD death, and all-cause death associated with NAFLD and MAFLD through April 28th, 2024. Data extraction and study quality assessment were performed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. Statistical analysis utilized random-effects models. The quality of evidence was assessed using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) methodology. RESULTS: Eleven cohort studies with 11,995,994 patients were included. Both NAFLD and MAFLD were associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular events (NAFLD group vs. non-NAFLD group: HR = 1.30, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.13-1.49, I2 = 91%; MAFLD group vs. non-MAFLD group: HR = 1.54, 95% CI: 1.32-1.81, I2 = 92%) and all-cause death (NAFLD group vs. non-NAFLD group: HR = 1.18, 95% CI: 1.04-1.33, I2 = 55%; MAFLD group vs. non-MAFLD group: HR = 1.30, 95% CI: 1.20-1.40, I2 = 0%). The MAFLD-only group had a stronger association with cardiovascular death than the NAFLD-only group (MAFLD-only group vs neither MAFLD nor NAFLD group: HR = 1.46, 95% CI: 1.40-1.51, I2 = 0%; NAFLD-only group vs neither MAFLD nor NAFLD group: HR = 1.10, 95% CI: 0.95-1.28, I2 = 0%, P for interaction < 0.01). The GRADE assessment revealed low certainty for cardiovascular disease (CVD) (NAFLD only group vs. neither NAFLD nor MAFLD group), cardiovascular death (NAFLD only group vs. neither NAFLD nor MAFLD group), and all-cause death (MAFLD group vs non-MAFLD group), and very low certainty for other results. CONCLUSION: MAFLD and NAFLD are both associated with cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality. However, the odds of cardiovascular death seems to be greater in patients with MAFLD than in those with NAFLD, suggesting that the use of MAFLD criteria may identify more at-risk individuals. PROSPERO REGISTRATION: CD42022361164.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.044 | 0.178 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.008 | 0.016 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.006 | 0.008 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.003 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.003 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".