Estradiol Concentrations for Adequate Gender-Affirming Feminizing Therapy: A Systematic Review
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Purpose: Guidelines recommend serum estradiol concentrations of 100–200 pg/mL for transgender women prescribed oral, subcutaneous, or transdermal estradiol with or without adjunct antiandrogen as gender-affirming feminizing hormone therapy (HT). The purpose of this systematic review was to evaluate if the guideline range of 100–200 pg/mL for estradiol concentration is associated with indicators of adequate gender-affirming feminizing HT, specifically feminizing sufficiency, insufficiency, testosterone suppression, or toxicity in transgender women. Methods: The Populations/Intervention/Comparator/Outcome model was applied to the study question, whereby the target population included transgender, gender-diverse, and nonbinary adults using gender-affirming feminizing HT by any route of administration, with or without adjunct antiandrogen use. The comparator was defined as estradiol concentrations within (100–200 pg/mL or 367–734 pM) versus outside (</>100–200 pg/mL) the guideline range; evaluated outcomes were listed by the same clinical guidelines that recommend using the 100–200 pg/mL range. Embase, MEDLINE, and Web of Science were queried over a 24-year time frame (January 1, 1999–April 20, 2023); the search was restricted to English. The extracted outcomes were categorized as indicators of therapeutic insufficiency, sufficiency, toxicity, or hormone concentration. Results: There were 49 studies that met the inclusion criteria, of which 9, 42, 25, and 5 studies included indicators of therapeutic insufficiency, sufficiency, toxicity, or hormone concentration, respectively. The search did not identify articles demonstrating that the 100–200 pg/mL guideline range provides optimal feminizing outcomes or reduces adverse events. Conclusions : Evidence does not support using the guideline range of 100–200 pg/mL to indicate sufficient feminization in transgender women using gender-affirming feminizing HT.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.005 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it