Development and validation of a combined clinical and MRI‐based biomarker model to differentiate mild cognitive impairment from mild Alzheimer's disease
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background: Two of the most common complaints seen in neurology clinics are Alzheimer's disease (AD) and mild cognitive impairment (MCI), characterized by similar symptoms. The aim of this study was to develop and internally validate the diagnostic value of combined neurological and radiological predictors in differentiating mild AD from MCI as the outcome variable, which helps in preventing AD development. Methods: A cross-sectional study of 161 participants was conducted in a general healthcare setting, including 30 controls, 71 mild AD, and 60 MCI. Binary logistic regression was used to identify predictors of interest, with collinearity assessment conducted prior to model development. Model performance was assessed through calibration, shrinkage, and decision-curve analyses. Finally, the combined clinical and radiological model was compared to models utilizing only clinical or radiological predictors. Results: The final model included age, sex, education status, Montreal cognitive assessment, Global Cerebral Atrophy Index, Medial Temporal Atrophy Scale, mean hippocampal volume, and Posterior Parietal Atrophy Index, with the area under the curve of 0.978 (0.934-0.996). Internal validation methods did not show substantial reduction in diagnostic performance. Combined model showed higher diagnostic performance compared to clinical and radiological models alone. Decision curve analysis highlighted the usefulness of this model for differentiation across all probability levels. Conclusion: A combined clinical-radiological model has excellent diagnostic performance in differentiating mild AD from MCI. Notably, the model leveraged straightforward neuroimaging markers, which are relatively simple to measure and interpret, suggesting that they could be integrated into practical, formula-driven diagnostic workflows without requiring computationally intensive deep learning models.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.017 | 0.023 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".