Aflatoxin exposure and mortality in acutely ill children: results from the CHAIN network cohort
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Chronic exposure to aflatoxins is associated with liver cancer, impaired child growth, and compromised immune function. The Childhood Acute Illness and Nutrition (CHAIN) Network cohort was established to identify risk factors for mortality in acutely ill children admitted to nine hospitals in four African and two South Asian countries. We examined the role of aflatoxin exposure in inpatient and post-discharge mortality. METHODS: In a nested case-cohort from the CHAIN cohort, we compared aflatoxin exposure at admission and discharge with death or survival in hospital (n=755) or up to 180-days post-discharge (n=585) and with community participants (CP, n=222). Children were stratified into non-wasting, medium-wasting and severe-wasting groups based on mid-upper arm circumference. Serum samples were analysed for an aflatoxin exposure biomarker, the aflatoxin-albumin adduct (AF-alb) using ELISA. FINDINGS: Overall, 56% of hospitalised participants tested positive for AF-alb at admission. The AF-alb level was higher in deceased (geometric mean and 95% CI (GM and 95% CI) 5.9 (4.9 to 7.1)) than in survivors (4.2 (3.8 to 4.7)) and CP (3.7 (3.1 to 4.3)) pg/mg alb. AF-alb concentration was higher at admission (4.7, (4.2 to 5.1)) than at discharge (3.7, (3.3 to 4.1)) and in the CP group (3.7, (3.1 to 4.3)) pg/mg alb (p<0.01) and in African vs Asian children (7.4 (6.5 to 8.5) vs 1.9 (1.8 to 2.1)) (p<0.001). Adjusted logistical regression showed no significant association between AF-alb levels and mortality, but after separating the nutrition strata, AF-alb was significantly associated with mortality (highest vs lowest quartile group OR=4.84, p=0.014) in non-wasted children. INTERPRETATION: Moderate to severe malnutrition is a more important risk factor for mortality than aflatoxin in acutely ill children, but aflatoxin exposure may contribute to mortality in non-wasted children. Controlling aflatoxin exposure should be integrated into clinical and public health interventions to reduce mortality in areas with high levels of exposure. FUNDING: Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation (OPP1131320 & INV-003225).
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.003 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".