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Record W4412506389 · doi:10.1017/s0266462325100202

On the potential value of eHTA: a commentary on “Defining Early Health Technology Assessment: Building Consensus Using Delphi Technique”

2025· article· en· W4412506389 on OpenAlexafffund
Nick Dragojlovic, Mark Harrison, Larry D. Lynd

Bibliographic record

VenueInternational Journal of Technology Assessment in Health Care · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicDelphi Technique in Research
Canadian institutionsUniversity of British Columbia
FundersNanoMedicines Innovation Network
KeywordsDelphi methodDelphiHealth technologyValue (mathematics)Consensus conferenceTechnology assessmentEngineering ethicsPolitical scienceMedicineManagement scienceComputer scienceEngineeringLibrary scienceHealth careLawArtificial intelligence

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The HTAi Health Technology Assessment (eHTA) Working Group's (WG) development of a consensus definition of early eHTA, as reported in Grutters et al. (1), represents a major step towards the establishment of eHTA as a distinct subdiscipline of HTA. In a global landscape in which growth in pharmaceutical spending is driven by the increasing number of high-cost specialty drugs (2-6), and where the cost of new entrants is not systematically associated with their clinical benefit (7;8), broader uptake of eHTA by pharmaceutical innovators offers a route to improving the value delivered by our collective investments in drug research and development (R&D). As we argue in this commentary, the WG's report provides a coherent framework within which to further define appropriate eHTA methods for specific use cases as well as eHTA's relationship to other decision-making tools currently used by health technology innovators and funders.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.211
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.465
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMetaresearch
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Commentary · Consensus signal: Commentary
Teacher disagreement score0.211
Threshold uncertainty score0.974

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.2110.465
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0020.002
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0040.006
Bibliometrics0.0040.006
Science and technology studies0.0150.041
Scholarly communication0.0130.026
Open science0.0160.014
Research integrity0.0840.107
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0030.002

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.053
GPT teacher head0.514
Teacher spread0.461 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreCommentary

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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Same venueInternational Journal of Technology Assessment in Health CareSame topicDelphi Technique in ResearchFrench-language works237,207