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Record W4412512729 · doi:10.3390/f16071195

A Simple Model to Predict the Temporal Nitrogen Saturation Point of a Jack Pine (Pinus banksiana L.) Forest

2025· article· en· W4412512729 on OpenAlexafffund
Andrew M. McDonough, Shaun A. Watmough

Bibliographic record

VenueForests · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicForest ecology and management
Canadian institutionsTrent University
FundersNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of CanadaEgg Farmers of Canada
KeywordsPinus <genus>NitrogenEnvironmental scienceSimple (philosophy)ForestryJack pineBotanyBiologyGeographyPhysics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Dry jack pine forests exposed to elevated nitrogen (N) deposition do not necessarily exhibit traditional N saturation responses. Using empirical results from a five year above-canopy N deposition experiment, a simple nitrogen (N) saturation model was developed for jack pine (Pinus banksiana Lamb.) forests dominated by cryptogams. For the model, a series of differential equations using empirically derived rate constants (k) were applied to estimate changes in net N pools in biotic and abiotic components across a narrow N deposition gradient (0, 5, 10, 15, 20, and 25 kg N ha−1 yr−1). Critical soil C:N ratios were used as the model limit to signify saturation. We explored the saturation response time by priming the model to mineralize approximately one percent of the soil N pool after the critical C:N ratio was reached. A portion of this pool was made available to jack pine trees. Nitrogen leaching below the rooting zone occurred when the mass of N mineralized from the soil organic- and A horizon layers exceeded the theoretical mass required by jack pine, driving the mineral soil below the critical C:N ratio. The model suggests that N leaching below the rooting zone could happen around 50 (1% LFH N mineralization) years after the onset of deposition at 25 kg N ha−1 yr−1. In contrast, N deposition rates ≤ 20 kg N ha−1 yr−1 are not expected to be associated with N leaching over this timeframe. The modeled results are consistent with empirical surveys of jack pine forests exposed to elevated N deposition for several decades.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.114
Threshold uncertainty score0.980

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.008
GPT teacher head0.231
Teacher spread0.223 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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