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Record W4412690568 · doi:10.1177/27551938251359053

Global Health on the Edge of a World War III

2025· article· en· W4412690568 on OpenAlexaff
Joan Benach, Carles Muntaner

Bibliographic record

VenueInternational Journal of Social Determinants of Health and Health Services · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldHealth Professions
TopicHealth and Conflict Studies
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Toronto
Fundersnot available
KeywordsGeopoliticsDisarmamentPublic healthPolitical scienceDevelopment economicsPolitical economyDiplomacyPoliticsPandemicEconomic growthSociologyDiseaseMedicineCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)LawInfectious disease (medical specialty)Economics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

As the COVID-19 pandemic clearly illustrated, the well-being of populations is shaped not just by the health systems that generate diseases but also by the macro structural factors that influence the ecosocial determinants of health. Wars are among the most severe threats to public health, triggering widespread mortality, the collapse of health care systems, food insecurity, disease outbreaks, psychological trauma, and long-term socio-economic destabilization, as well as other forms of social and environmental destruction. This article explores the current geopolitical landscape, analyzing political tensions and the major causes of conflicts in order to evaluate the potential of a Third World War developing in the near future. It argues that, from a public health perspective, comprehending the geopolitical motivations behind armed conflicts is crucial for their prevention. Given the current era of escalating geopolitical tensions and the looming threat of nuclear conflict, the authors urge public health institutions and their educators and researchers to engage deeply with war and conflict as a determinant of health and health inequity, and advocate for peace through diplomacy and disarmament.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: Theoretical or conceptual
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.014
Threshold uncertainty score0.028

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0030.004
Scholarly communication0.0040.002
Open science0.0000.005
Research integrity0.0020.003
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0080.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.062
GPT teacher head0.501
Teacher spread0.439 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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