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Record W4412816693 · doi:10.1111/dme.70099

The predictive value of cumulative plantar tissue stress on future plantar foot ulceration in people with diabetes—A 12‐month prospective observational study

2025· article· en· W4412816693 on OpenAlexaff
Chantal M. Hulshof, Jaap J. van Netten, Tessa E. Busch‐Westbroek, Louise Willy Elizabeth Sabelis, Edgar J.G. Peters, Mirjam Pijnappels, Sicco A. Bus

Bibliographic record

VenueDiabetic Medicine · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicDiabetic Foot Ulcer Assessment and Management
Canadian institutionsInstitute of Infection and Immunity
FundersAmsterdam University Medical Centers
KeywordsMedicineFoot (prosody)ForefootConfidence intervalDiabetic footDiabetes mellitusProspective cohort studyOdds ratioPlantar fasciitisInternal medicinePhysical therapySurgeryComplicationHeel

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract Aims Plantar foot ulcers are a burdensome complication of diabetes caused by abnormal foot biomechanics. Predicting foot ulcers aids in their prevention, but the value of peak pressure—the most used biomechanical parameter—is only moderate. We aimed to improve prediction based on the more comprehensive load measure cumulative plantar tissue stress (CPTS). Methods We prospectively observed 60 participants with diabetes at high foot ulcer risk for 12 months. At baseline, we assessed demographic and clinical characteristics—including plantar pre‐ulcers (i.e., abundant callus, haemorrhage, blister, fissure)—and measured barefoot and in‐shoe plantar pressures during walking and standing. Daily‐life weight‐bearing activity and adherence to prescribed footwear were assessed over 7 days after baseline. The primary outcome was plantar foot ulceration during the 12‐month follow‐up. CPTS was calculated (in GPa . s/day) from the above foot‐loading factors and analysed for predicting foot ulcers and its association with pre‐ulcers, using multivariate regression analyses. Results Twenty‐two participants (37%) developed a plantar forefoot ulcer. CPTS was not a significant predictor (odds ratio (OR) = 0.90 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.50–1.59)) but pre‐ulcers at baseline (OR = 9.97, 95%CI: 1.41–70.65) and walking speed (in m/s) (OR = 0.01, 95%CI: 0.00–0.32) were. CPTS was significantly associated with pre‐ulcers (OR = 2.38, 95%CI: 1.02–5.54). Conclusions CPTS did not predict plantar foot ulceration in our high‐risk participants, but our findings support the mechanical pathway of plantar foot ulceration through pre‐ulcer development and indicate lower walking speed as an important predictor. Assessing walking speed and early identifying and treating pre‐ulcers will help predict and prevent plantar foot ulcers in high‐risk people with diabetes.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.017
Threshold uncertainty score0.825

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.016
GPT teacher head0.292
Teacher spread0.275 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations2
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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