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Record W4413340229 · doi:10.1101/2025.08.13.665980

Novel Predictive Spatial Biomarker in Non-Small Cell Lung Carcinoma: The Diversity of Niches Unlocking Treatment Sensitivity (DONUTS)

2025· preprint· en· W4413340229 on OpenAlexaff
Tricia R. Cottrell, J. Roskes, Michael Fotheringham, Emily B. Cohen, Boyang Zhang, Daphne Wang, Elizabeth Will, Joel Sunshine, Daniel Jiménez‐Sánchez, Zhen Zeng, Justina X. Caushi, Jiajia Zhang, Nina M. D’Amiano, Julie S. Deutsch, Sonali Uttam, Katie Pirie, Darah Vlaminck, Michelle Mataj, Alexa Fiorante, Nicole Espinosa, Teodora Popa, Aleksandra Ogurtsova, Sigfredo Soto-Diaz, Margaret Eminizer, Samuel Tabrisky, Andrew Jorquera, Jonathan R. Skidmore, Jamie E. Chaft, Julie R. Brahmer, Michael Conroy, Joshua E. Reuss, Ludmila Danilova, Hongkai Ji, Patrick M. Forde, Drew M. Pardoll, Kellie N. Smith, Benjamin Green, Alexander S. Szalay, Janis M. Taube

Bibliographic record

VenuebioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) · 2025
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldBiochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology
TopicSingle-cell and spatial transcriptomics
Canadian institutionsQueen's University
Fundersnot available
KeywordsFOXP3BiomarkerCD8Immune systemCancer researchBiologyImmunologyGenetics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

SUMMARY Probabilistic spatial modelling techniques developed on large-scale tumor-immune Atlases (∼35M individually mapped cells; 50,000 high power fields) were used to characterize predictive features of treatment-responsive lung cancer. We identified CD8+FoxP3+ cell density as a robust pre-treatment biomarker for outcomes across disease stages and therapy types. In parallel, single-cell RNAseq studies of CD8+FoxP3+ T-cells revealed an activated, early effector phenotype, substantiating an anti-tumor role, and contrasting with CD4+FoxP3+ T-regulatory cells. A spatial biomarker was developed using an empirical probabilistic model to define the immediate cell neighbors or niche surrounding CD8+FoxP3+ cells and proximity to the tumor-stromal boundary. The resultant ‘Diversity of Niches Unlocking Treatment Sensitivity (DONUTS)’ are more prevalent than the CD8+FoxP3+ cells themselves, mitigating sampling error in small biopsies. Further, the DONUTS only require four markers, are additive to PD-L1, and associate with tertiary lymphoid structure counts. Taken together, the DONUTS represent a next-generation predictive biomarker poised for clinical implementation. HIGHLIGHTS Large-scale tumor-immune Atlases drive robust computational biomarker development CD8+FoxP3+ cells are anti-tumor T-cells and predict response to therapy The niches or spatial ‘donuts’ around CD8+FoxP3+ cells boost biomarker performance CD8+FoxP3+ donuts are hallmarks of a larger immune organization that includes TLS

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.003
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.002
Threshold uncertainty score0.007

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.003
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.015
GPT teacher head0.205
Teacher spread0.189 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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