Polygyny and Drought Resilience in Village Economies: Evidence from Rural Mali
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Rural communities in the Sahel, where livelihoods rely heavily on rainfed agriculture, face recurrent droughts that threaten food security and economic stability. This study examines how drought impacts crop yields across communities with varying levels of polygyny. Using panel data, census records, and meteorological information from rural Mali, this study finds that droughts significantly reduce crop yields in communities with no polygyny, whereas those with higher polygyny prevalence experience a mitigated impact. Our analysis suggests that highly polygynous communities benefit from geographically dispersed kinship networks, which provide crucial support during droughts. These networks facilitate resource sharing, sustaining both agricultural production and off-farm activities, thereby buffering the adverse effects of drought. These findings underscore the need to integrate cultural practices into policy efforts aimed at strengthening risk-management mechanisms in drought-prone regions. Neglecting such factors may inadvertently reinforce the persistence of informal coping strategies.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it