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Record W4413795333 · doi:10.5194/acp-25-9497-2025

Changes in the impacts of ship emissions on PM <sub>2.5</sub> and its components in China under the staged fuel oil policies

2025· article· en· W4413795333 on OpenAlexaff
Guangyuan Yu, Yan Zhang, Qian Wang, Zimin Han, Shenglan Jiang, Fan Yang, Xin Yang, Cheng Huang

Bibliographic record

VenueAtmospheric chemistry and physics · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicMaritime Transport Emissions and Efficiency
Canadian institutionsInstitute on Governance
FundersNational Natural Science Foundation of China
KeywordsChinaEnvironmental scienceFuel oilNatural resource economicsMeteorologyAtmospheric sciencesWaste managementEconomicsEngineeringGeologyPolitical scienceGeography

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The issue of air pollution caused by ship emissions is becoming prominent with the increasing global shipping activities. China has carried out fuel oil policies in three stages in the past few years to meet the requirements of the global low sulfur regulation by the International Maritime Organization (IMO). However, the impacts of staged policies on air quality in China are not sufficiently understood. This study firstly updated the ship emission inventory including PM 2.5 components based on field and on-board measurements under the staged fuel oil policies. Then, the impacts of ship emissions on PM 2.5 and its gas precursors and primary and secondary components in China from 2017 to 2021 were revealed by using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model and the Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) model. In the model domain, the 99th percentile of the shipping-related PM 2.5 concentrations was reduced by 19.5 % and then by 35.6 % due to the policy shifts. Ship emissions increased the PM 2.5 concentrations up to 3.8 µg m −3 in 2017 and 2.6 µg m −3 in 2021. The areas with high concentration levels widely distributed over offshore waters in 2017 and shrunk to some parts of China's coast in 2021. The contributions of ship emissions to the PM 2.5 concentrations over China's main port cities ranged from 3.0 % to 17.4 % in 2017 and 2.5 % to 10.3 % in 2021. In these cities, the change rates of the concentrations of PM 2.5 , SO42-, NO3-, NH4+, carbonaceous aerosols, V, and Ni related to ship emissions from 2017 to 2021 were −32.7 %, −74.0 %, +11.0 %, −27.5 %, −76.9 %, −90.3 %, and −38.4 %, respectively. NO3- constituted 54.6 % of the shipping-related PM 2.5 in 2021. Our findings suggest that it is important to consider both transport pathways and secondary aerosol formation mechanisms to combat the PM 2.5 pollution caused by shipping in different regions.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.152
Threshold uncertainty score0.302

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0010.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.011
GPT teacher head0.224
Teacher spread0.213 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations7
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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