Epstein–Barr virus and cytomegalovirus co-infections and mortality risk in patients with HIV-associated cryptococcal meningitis: a post-hoc analysis of a prospective nested cohort in the AMBITION-cm randomised controlled trial
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: HIV-associated cryptococcal meningitis case fatality remains greater than 25%. Co-prevalent infections might contribute to poor outcomes. We aimed to ascertain the prevalence and the clinical significance of Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) and cytomegalovirus co-infections in patients with cryptococcal meningitis to guide potential therapeutic interventions. METHODS: We conducted a post-hoc analysis of a prospective cohort using plasma and cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) samples collected in the AMBITION-cm randomised trial. AMBITION-cm was done at seven hospital sites across five African countries (Botswana, Malawi, South Africa, Uganda, and Zimbabwe). The primary endpoint of the trial was all-cause mortality at 10 weeks. Quantitative PCR (qPCR) was used to measure baseline cytomegalovirus and EBV viral loads in these samples. Baseline demographic and clinical data including antiretroviral therapy status, and laboratory data including CD4 cell count, CSF white cell count, protein, glucose, and quantitative cryptococcal culture were captured in real time via an electronic medical records system. We assessed the prevalence of cytomegalovirus plasma viraemia and EBV plasma viraemia, and CNS co-infections, associations between cytomegalovirus and EBV co-infection status and baseline covariates, and associations with 2-week and 10-week mortality. FINDINGS: Between Jan 31, 2018, and Feb 18, 2021, among 811 participants enrolled, 60% were male, median age was 37 years (IQR 32-43), and median baseline CD4 count was 27 cells per μL (IQR 10-58). Cytomegalovirus plasma viraemia was present in 395 (49%) of 804 participants and EBV plasma viraemia was present in 585 (73%) participants. 39 (5%) of 707 participants had detectable cytomegalovirus in the CSF and 191 (27%) of 708 participants had detectable EBV. Cytomegalovirus plasma viraemia was associated with lower CD4 cell counts, less CSF inflammation, and higher CSF fungal burdens. Conversely, EBV plasma viraemia was associated with higher CD4 cell counts and more CSF inflammation. At 2 and 10 weeks, the risk of mortality was two times higher in participants with high-level cytomegalovirus plasma viraemia (≥1000 copies per mL) than in participants without cytomegalovirus plasma viraemia (adjusted odds ratio 2·31 [95% CI 1·12-4·75] at 2 weeks; 2·44 [1·33-4·45] at 10 weeks). EBV coinfections were not associated with increased mortality. INTERPRETATION: These data indicate that cytomegalovirus might be an important copathogen in this context, and that cytomegalovirus viraemia represents a potentially modifiable risk factor to reduce mortality among adults with HIV-associated cryptococcal meningitis. Interventional trials are now required and planned to determine whether treatment of cytomegalovirus viraemia improves outcomes in advanced HIV disease. FUNDING: National Institute for Health and Care Research, European and Developing Countries Clinical Trials Partnership, Medical Research Council, and Wellcome Trust.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".