Adjuvant chemoradiotherapy versus radiotherapy alone in women with high-risk endometrial cancer (PORTEC-3): 10-year clinical outcomes and post-hoc analysis by molecular classification from a randomised phase 3 trial
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: The PORTEC-3 trial investigated the benefit of chemoradiotherapy versus pelvic radiotherapy alone for women with high-risk endometrial cancer. We present the preplanned long-term analysis of the randomised PORTEC-3 trial with a post-hoc analysis including molecular classification of the tumours. METHODS: intravenously at 3-week intervals). Randomisation was done by use of biased-coin minimisation with stratification for participating centre, lymphadenectomy, stage, and histological type. We report the primary outcomes of overall survival and recurrence-free survival at 10 years. We also report primary outcomes by molecular subgroup in a post-hoc analysis. Survival was analysed in the intention-to-treat population. The study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT00411138) and is now complete. FINDINGS: Between Nov 23, 2006, and Dec 20, 2013, 660 eligible and evaluable patients recruited at 103 centres in six clinical trial groups across seven countries were randomly assigned to chemoradiotherapy (n=330) or radiotherapy alone (n=330). Median follow-up was 10·1 years (IQR 9·8-11·0). Estimated 10-year overall survival was 74·4% (95% CI 69·8-79·4) in the chemoradiotherapy group and 67·3% (62·3-72·7) in the radiotherapy group (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0·73 [95% CI 0·54-0·97], p=0·032), and 10-year recurrence-free survival was 72·8% (67·2-77·6) versus 67·4% (61·7-72·4; adjusted HR 0·74 [95% CI 0·56-0·98], p=0·034). Molecular analysis was available for 411 (62%) patients (210 [64%] of 330 patients in the chemoradiotherapy group and 201 [61%] of 330 patients in the radiotherapy group), whose characteristics were similar to the overall trial population. Post-hoc analysis by molecular class showed that, for women with p53 abnormal tumours, 10-year overall survival was 52·7% (95% CI 40·8-68·1) with chemoradiotherapy versus 36·6% (25·0 to 53·7) with radiotherapy alone (adjusted HR 0·52 [95% CI 0·30-0·91], p=0·021); 10-year recurrence-free survival was 52·6% (95% CI 38·3 to 65·0) versus 37·0% (95% CI 23·7 to 50·2; HR 0·42 [95% CI 0·24 to 0·74], p=0·0027). MMRd and POLEmut cancers did not seem to benefit from chemoradiotherapy over radiotherapy alone, whereas the effects for NSMP cancers were modulated by oestrogen-receptor status. INTERPRETATION: 10-year overall survival and recurrence-free survival were improved for patients with high-risk endometrial cancer treated with adjuvant chemoradiotherapy versus radiotherapy alone, with most clinically relevant benefit suggested for p53 abnormal cancers. FUNDING: Dutch Cancer Society, Cancer Research UK, National Health and Medical Research Council Australia, Cancer Australia, Italian Medicines Agency, and the Canadian Cancer Society Research Institute.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.008 | 0.007 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.003 | 0.005 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.005 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".