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Record W4414018357 · doi:10.1111/cjag.70000

Farmers’ share of the consumer food dollar in Canada: What input‐output data from 1997–2021 show us

2025· article· en· W4414018357 on OpenAlexaffvenueabout
Solomon Aklilu, Flora Guangzhi Cai, Deepananda Herath, Jill Smilestone, Laura Stortz

Bibliographic record

VenueCanadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d agroeconomie · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicEconomics of Agriculture and Food Markets
Canadian institutionsAgriculture and Agri-Food Canada
Fundersnot available
KeywordsLiberian dollarAgricultural economicsEconomicsAgricultural scienceBusinessMarketingEnvironmental scienceFinance

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract This article uses Canadian input–output data from 1997–2021 to explore the consumer food dollar in terms of its distribution between farmers (i.e., farm share) and post‐farm gate industries. We have adopted the method developed by Canning (2011), which is based on a type one Input‐Output multiplier model. The overall farm share (19.4% in 1997–18.6% in 2021); the food at home farm share (23.7% in 1997–22.8% in 2021) and the food away from home farm share (10.1% in 1997–9.6% in 2021) did not fluctuate widely, suggesting a fairly fixed distribution between farmers and post‐farm gate industries. The overall farm share changed the most between 2019 and 2020 due to changing consumer behavior during the pandemic (COVID‐19). The time series econometric analysis on farm shares and price indices for the agri‐food value chain shows mild to significant associations among them. Given that, on average, 83% of every dollar Canadians spend on food goes to post‐farm gate sectors, it may be insightful to study post‐farm gate industries in greater detail in order to better understand the drivers behind recent food price inflation.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.003
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.036
Threshold uncertainty score0.259

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.003
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.001
Bibliometrics0.0030.010
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0020.001
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0040.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.035
GPT teacher head0.163
Teacher spread0.128 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations3
Published2025
Admission routes3
Has abstractyes

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