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Record W4414030845 · doi:10.1038/s41416-025-03158-3

Recommendations for studying the association of the cancer diagnosis to treatment interval with overall survival: a modified Delphi process

2025· article· en· W4414030845 on OpenAlexaff
Matthew Jalink, Will D. King, Benjamin O. Anderson, Rinku Sutradhar, Marie Louise Tørring, Michael D. Brundage, Patti A. Groome, Kelvin Chan, Robin Urquhart, Yingwei Peng, Antoine Eskander, Surbhi Grover, Michael J. Raphael, Richard Grieve, Christoph Laub, Christopher M. Booth, Timothy P. Hanna

Bibliographic record

VenueBritish Journal of Cancer · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicDelphi Technique in Research
Canadian institutionsUniversity of TorontoDalhousie UniversitySunnybrook Health Science CentreKingston Health Sciences CentrePublic Health OntarioQueen's University
Fundersnot available
KeywordsMedicineCancerInterval (graph theory)OncologyAssociation (psychology)Internal medicineSurgeryPsychologyMathematics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

BACKGROUND: The duration from diagnosis to primary treatment initiation (DTI) is an important interval for patients with cancer, as delayed treatment has been found to be associated with heightened recurrence rates and worsened survival. Studying the association between DTI duration and overall survival (OS) is biased and confounded by clinical triaging, heterogeneous definitions, and variation in analytic approaches. OBJECTIVE: To develop consensus-based guidance for conducting studies investigating the association of DTI duration and OS. METHODS: A multidisciplinary panel was recruited to participate in a three-round modified Delphi approach to develop consensus recommendations on the best methodological practices when studying the association between DTI duration and OS. RESULTS: The Delphi panel consisted of 15 experts in the fields of epidemiology, biostatistics, health services research, oncology, and health policy. A list of 24 recommendations with accompanying elaborations was generated including variable definition and measurement, cohort creation, confounder control, pertinent biases, analytic techniques, and balanced interpretation of results. CONCLUSION: Providing valid evidence of the DTI effect on OS requires careful approaches. This paper offers recommendations on how to improve methodological quality. This will ensure that future studies effectively contribute to evidence-informed practice decisions on appropriate waiting times for patients with cancer.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.563
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.669
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMetaresearch
Consensus categoriesMetaresearch
DomainCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: Methods
Study designCandidate signal: Qualitative · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.437
Threshold uncertainty score0.539

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.5630.669
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0050.004
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0030.011
Bibliometrics0.0150.010
Science and technology studies0.0100.014
Scholarly communication0.0130.017
Open science0.0090.024
Research integrity0.0150.017
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0120.005

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.134
GPT teacher head0.474
Teacher spread0.341 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; the direct Gemma label and the distilled Codex classifier agree on what is shown here.

Study designQualitative
DomainMethods
GenreMethods

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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Same venueBritish Journal of CancerSame topicDelphi Technique in ResearchFrench-language works237,207