Phylogenomic timetree-calibrated speciation clocks for Caenorhabditis nematodes reveal slow but disproportionate accumulation of post-zygotic reproductive isolation
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Reproductive isolation and genomic divergence both accumulate over time in the formation and persistence of distinct biological species. The pace of "speciation clocks" quantified with pre-zygotic and post-zygotic reproductive isolation, however, differs among taxa, with pre-zygotic isolation tending to evolve sooner in some but not all taxa. To address this issue in nematodes for the first time, here we infer the species tree and divergence times across the phylogeny of 51 species of Caenorhabditis. We incorporate several molecular evolutionary strategies in phylogenomic dating to account for complications in this group due to lack of fossil calibration, deep molecular divergence with synonymous-site saturation, and codon usage bias. By integrating divergence times with experimental data on pre- and post-zygotic reproductive isolation, we infer that post-zygotic isolation accumulates faster than pre-zygotic isolation in Caenorhabditis and that hybrid sterility evolves sooner than hybrid inviability. These findings are consistent with speciation being driven principally by intrinsic isolating barriers and the disproportionate fragility of germline developmental programs to disruption. We estimate that it takes approximately 50 million generations for intrinsic post-zygotic reproductive compatibility to be reduced by half, on average, between diverging pairs of Caenorhabditis. The protracted reproductive isolation clocks in Caenorhabditis may, in part, reflect the capacity to retain population genetic hyperdiversity, the incomplete sampling of global biodiversity, and as-yet uncharacterized incipient or cryptic species.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".