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Rate and predictors of relapse and surgery in idiopathic clubfeet after successful Ponseti treatment in infancy

2025· article· en· W4415269232 on OpenAlexafffund
Ruth Gremminger, Caroline Cristofaro, Marwah Sadat, Maryse Bouchard

Bibliographic record

VenueBone & Joint Open · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicFoot and Ankle Surgery
Canadian institutionsHospital for Sick ChildrenUniversity of Toronto
FundersHospital for Sick Children
KeywordsPonseti methodClubfootBraceTenotomyOrthopedic surgery

Abstract

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Aims: To assess the rates of relapse and risk factors for release and surgical intervention in patients with idiopathic clubfoot. Methods: A retrospective review of all patients with idiopathic clubfoot and initiation of Ponseti treatment between February 2005 and December 2015 was conducted. All patients with successful initial Ponseti casting treatment at the study institution and one year of follow-up were included. Rates of relapse, surgery, and types of surgical procedures performed were collected. Results: The final cohort included 268 children with 397 idiopathic clubfeet, consisting of 98 females (36.6%) and 170 males (63.4%). The successfully Ponseti-treated group without relapse was composed of 171 children with 252 feet (63.5% of total cohort). A total of 97 patients (36.2%) had a relapse and required further intervention (relapse group). There was a greater proportion of patients with complex-type clubfoot in the relapse group (18.6% vs 4.7%, p = 0.001). Patients who never relapsed presented at a median age of 33.7 days (IQR 40.8), while those who relapsed presented at a significantly younger age, at a median of 25.1 days (IQR 17.2) (p < 0.001). Children in the no-relapse group required significantly fewer casts to achieve correction, with a mean of 4.3 compared with 5.2 in patients with relapse (p < 0.001). Children in the no-relapse group showed a significantly higher rate of good adherence compared with those in the relapse-group (94.9% vs 62.3%, p < 0.001). In total, 24 children (23 feet, 5.8% of total cohort) underwent surgery, whereas 74 had a relapse but did not require surgery. The most common surgical procedures performed were tibialis anterior tendon transfer (n = 25) and open tendoachilles lengthening (n = 21). Conclusion: We confirm that a higher number of casts to achieve correction in the initial Ponseti series, younger age at presentation, complex clubfoot features, and poor brace adherence may be correlated with risk of relapse and surgery. The need for joint invasive surgery is rarely indicated.

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How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.003
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.002
Threshold uncertainty score0.005

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.003
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.019
GPT teacher head0.274
Teacher spread0.254 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations2
Published2025
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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