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Risk of second primary malignancies following radioactive iodine therapy in thyroid cancer: A meta-analysis of 1,189,992 patients

2025· preprint· en· W4415398964 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Aisyah Elliyanti, Yulia Kurniawati, Kevin N. Cuandra, Dewa Ngakan Nyoman Karyana, Melly Surya Oktaviani, Christopher Daniel Tristan

Bibliographic record

VenueF1000Research · 2025
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicThyroid Cancer Diagnosis and Treatment
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersUniversitas Andalas
KeywordsThyroidObservational studyThyroid cancerRelative riskPopulationRadioactive iodineSubgroup analysisMeta-analysis

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

While the prognosis of thyroid cancer (TC) was generally excellent, there was a long-term concern regarding the risk of subsequent second primary malignancies (SPM) following radioactive iodine (RAI). This study aimed to comprehensively estimate the pooled risk of SPM occurrence following RAI therapy. The study searched the literature across three databases (PubMed, Scopus, and ScienceDirect), and was followed by citation searching. Original observational studies assessing the risk of SPM following RAI in TC were included. The Newcastle Ottawa scale was used for methodological assessment. STATA 17.0 was used for statistical analysis. A total of 18 studies encompassing 1,189,992 patients were included (638,275 in the RAI group and 551,717 in the non-RAI group). Pooled meta-analysis demonstrated no statistically significant increase in the risk of SPMs in the RAI-treated group, with a pooled RR of 1.07 (95% CI: 0.96 –1.21; p = 0.23). This result was deemed robust based on leave-one-out analysis. Subgroup analysis across publication year, follow-up duration (>10 years vs ≤10 years), population size, and SPM site (including breast, genitourinary, gastrointestinal-hepatobiliary, respiratory, skin, hematology, central nervous system, head and neck) consistently showed comparable results. There was no evidence of a significantly increased risk of SPM among TC survivors treated with RAI.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.009
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.013
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Meta-analysis · Consensus signal: Meta-analysis
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.009
Threshold uncertainty score0.045

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0090.013
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0020.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0080.054
Bibliometrics0.0030.004
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0020.001
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0020.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.068
GPT teacher head0.368
Teacher spread0.299 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designMeta-analysis
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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