Ice sheet mass flow and balance with constituent terms 2010–19
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Ice sheet mass loss is typically provided for grounded ice, because changes in floating ice are more difficult to measure and contribute minimally to sea level rise. However, gross freshwater mass flow rate across ice sheet boundaries, including floating ice, is a better metric of ice sheet health. Here, we present total mass flows across ice sheet boundaries for both the Greenlandic and Antarctic ice sheets and their peripheral glaciers from 2010 through 2019. In addition to total mass flow, we provide constituent terms and gross rather than net values, including components that combine to provide surface mass balance. Ice mass loss in Greenland is 330 $\pm$ 50 Gt yr -1 which is $\sim$ 30% larger than the 255 $\pm$ 40 Gt yr -1 grounded ice mass loss estimates that neglect floating ice changes. Ice mass loss in Antarctica is 450 $\pm$ 270 Gt yr -1 which is $\sim$ 2.4x the 190 $\pm$ 115 Gt yr -1 grounded ice mass loss estimates. Freshwater mass flow rate from Greenland is $\sim$ 1065 $\pm$ 120 Gt yr -1 or $\sim$ 3x mass loss ( $\sim$ 4x grounded mass loss), and from Antarctica is $\sim$ 3110 $\pm$ 1515 Gt yr -1 , or $\sim$ 7x mass loss ( $\sim$ 16x grounded mass loss).
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".