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Record W4415966503 · doi:10.1101/2025.11.03.25339124

A Generalizable Distribution Structure Analysis Algorithm with Audit-Ready Framework for Medical Research

2025· preprint· W4415966503 on OpenAlex
Masakazu OKAZAKI

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

affAt least one author lists a Canadian institution in the pinned OpenAlex snapshot.

Bibliographic record

VenuemedRxiv · 2025
Typepreprint
Language
FieldMathematics
TopicStatistical Methods and Bayesian Inference
Canadian institutionsL'Alliance Boviteq
Fundersnot available
KeywordsAuditStatistical inferenceParametric statisticsIdentification (biology)Causal inferenceInferenceStatistical hypothesis testingData quality

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract Background Conventional statistical methods in medical research often fail to capture real-world complexity due to rigid parametric assumptions, particularly normality, which frequently do not hold for clinical and epidemiological data. Heterogeneous distributions, heavy-tailed patterns, and multimodal structures are common in healthcare data, yet conventional methods often fail to capture these structural characteristics, leading to information loss and potentially misleading conclusions. Furthermore, regulatory audits and reproducibility requirements demand transparent, traceable analytical frameworks. Objective This study presents a comprehensive Distribution Structure Analysis (DSA) algorithm with an integrated audit-ready framework designed specifically for medical research. The algorithm systematically identifies distributional structures, ensures statistical rigor through explicit estimand specification and goodness-of-fit testing, and maintains complete audit trails for regulatory compliance. Methods The DSA algorithm integrates five key components: (1) explicit estimand specification aligned with research design, (2) automated distribution type identification (normal, log-normal, exponential, Weibull, power-law, and mixture models), (3) comprehensive goodness-of-fit assessment using multiple criteria (AIC/BIC, visual diagnostics, and statistical tests), (4) causal inference support through Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAG), and (5) automated audit logging with a three-tier quality control system (red/yellow/green). The algorithm was validated using both simulated datasets with known distributions and real-world medical data from clinical trials and epidemiological studies. Results Validation studies demonstrated that the DSA algorithm correctly identified distribution types with 95% accuracy across 1,000 simulated datasets. In clinical trial data analysis, the algorithm detected heavy-tailed distributions in adverse event frequencies that were missed by conventional normality-based methods, leading to more accurate safety assessments. The audit logging system successfully recorded all analytical decisions, enabling complete reproducibility. The three-tier quality control system flagged 12% of analyses for re-examination, preventing potential methodological errors. Application to epidemiological data revealed multimodal patterns in disease incidence that informed targeted public health interventions. Conclusions The DSA algorithm with integrated audit-ready framework provides a rigorous, transparent, and reproducible approach to distribution structure analysis in medical research. By explicitly addressing estimands, ensuring goodness-of-fit, and maintaining complete audit trails, the framework meets both statistical rigor and regulatory compliance requirements. The algorithm is applicable across diverse medical research domains, including clinical trials, epidemiology, health economics, and pharmacovigilance. Open-source implementation and comprehensive documentation facilitate adoption and validation by the research community.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.007
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.033
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMetaresearch, Meta-epidemiology (narrow), Research integrity, Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesResearch integrity
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: Theoretical or conceptual
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: Methods
Teacher disagreement score0.209
Threshold uncertainty score0.999

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0070.033
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0030.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.004
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0020.001
Research integrity0.0030.004
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0050.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.079
GPT teacher head0.450
Teacher spread0.371 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it