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Calibrating Uncertainty in Generative Language Interfaces: A Behavioral Economics Framework for Engagement and Conversion

2025· article· W4416401414 on OpenAlexaff
Raghu Para, Durga Krishnamoorthy

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typearticle
Language
FieldComputer Science
TopicAI in Service Interactions
Canadian institutionsArtificial Intelligence in Medicine (Canada)
Fundersnot available
KeywordsAmbiguityOverconfidence effectBehavioral economicsGenerative grammarEntropy (arrow of time)Modular designCalibrationTask (project management)TrustworthinessAmbiguity aversion

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Uncertainty in generative language interfaces (GLIs) is inevitable: overconfidence erodes trust, while excessive hedging frustrates users. This paper introduces a framework for calibrating ambiguity in GLIs, combining behavioral economics and HCI insights with entropy-based computational anchoring. The implementation of a modular prototype exposes adjustable “ambiguity knobs”, integrating normalized entropy scoring with a hedging classifier. A large-scale user study (N=2,164) across four domains-e-commerce, enterprise dashboards, education, and creative ideation-evaluates the effects of calibrated ambiguity on trust, curiosity, satisfaction, and task outcomes. Results show that moderate ambiguity consistently improves engagement and trust (e.g., a + 10.4pp conversion uplift in e-commerce, p<0.01) compared with zero-shot and static-hedge baselines. These findings demonstrate that ambiguity calibration is operationalizable, not merely descriptive, and yield actionable design strategies for AI practitioners. By uniting computational uncertainty quantification with domain-sensitive behavioral effects, this work provides a reproducible foundation for trustworthy GLI design.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.916
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.042
GPT teacher head0.347
Teacher spread0.305 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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