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Record W4416500133 · doi:10.1302/1358-992x.2025.14.033

WAITING FOR SPINE SURGERY IN CANADA: AN EVALUATION OF WAIT TIMES, WAIT LISTS, AND SURGERIES PERFORMED BEFORE AND AFTER THE ONSET OF THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC

2025· article· en· W4416500133 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Richard Smith, Christopher Small, E. Bigney, J. Kearney, E. Richardson, Neil B. Manson, Edward Abraham, N. Attabib, M. Aaron Bond, Stephan U Dombrowski, Gèrard de Vries, J. Manuel, Amanda Vandewint, Jeffrey J. Hébert

Bibliographic record

VenueOrthopaedic Proceedings · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicCOVID-19 and healthcare impacts
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsReferralSpinal surgeryPandemicElective surgeryHealth careTriageCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)Neurosurgery

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

To examine the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on wait times for spinal surgery patients in Canada and quantify the number of patients waiting for spinal surgery and spinal surgeries performed. We included consented surgical patients from the 22 orthopaedic or neurological surgical centers participating in the CSORN registry. Study outcomes included wait times from surgical consult to surgery (T2) and from general practitioner referral to surgery (T3), counts of patients on the waitlist and surgeries performed. These outcomes were measured in three-month intervals from December 01, 2017, to February 01, 2022. All cohorts were categorized by severity of their clinical condition as ‘semi-urgent,’ including myelopathy, fracture, infection, tumour, inflammatory spine disorder, spondylolisthesis types 4, 5, and 6, or motor impairments. The remaining patients were classified as ‘elective.’ Quantile regression was used to model the national change in T2 and T3 median days over time. We reported counts for patients waiting for surgery and surgeries performed. The COVID-19 pandemic negatively impacted the national surgical consultation to surgery (T2) and the general practitioner referral to surgery (T3) wait times for elective and semi-urgent surgery patients. The number of patients on the waitlist for both surgical cohorts nearly doubled during the pandemic, and the number of surgeries performed during the pandemic fell. Evidence suggests a negative impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on wait times for elective and semi-urgent spinal surgery subgroups, a trend of increasing waitlists and decreasing spinal surgeries performed. These findings should inform future healthcare policies in the event of another disruptive health emergency and highlight the need to target the backlog of spinal surgeries. Future research should investigate the post-pandemic environment to identify the persistence of surgical delay and its effects on spinal conditions.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.003
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.005
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.385
Threshold uncertainty score0.996

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0030.005
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.057
GPT teacher head0.343
Teacher spread0.286 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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