Whole genome sequence meta-analyses reveal common and rare genetic associations with critical COVID-19
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract In susceptible patients, COVID-19 causes life-threatening disease driven by immune-mediated inflammatory lung injury. We have previously shown that multiple common host genetic variants are significantly associated with susceptibility to critical Covid-19, 1;2;3 and in one case, we demonstrated that such variants can inform development of new, effective drug treatment 1;4 . Here we report an association analysis of whole-genome sequences (WGS) from 11,423 cases from the GenOMICC study and 60,628 controls, together with meta-analyses with available genome-wide data (Fig. 1). We identify a rare association signal at SLC50A1 , primarily driven by a missense variant rs147850817 (1:155138217:G:T, Arg201Leu) that may interfere with transport function, and we identify four common association signals near ARF1, ZNF462, KLF13 and MVP genes. Finally, we build a WGS-derived polygenic risk score (PRS) for critical Covid-19, which offers only marginal improvement in risk estimation for the general population but may provide clinically-valuable discrimination for extreme susceptibility.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.004 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".