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Record W4416756115 · doi:10.1016/j.soi.2025.100199

The tumour microenvironment score outperforms established molecular classifiers as a prognostic factor for disease-free interval and disease-specific survival in non-metastatic gastric cancer

2025· article· en· W4416756115 on OpenAlexaff
Daniel Skubleny, Samreen Jatana, Zofia Czarnecka, Armaun D. Rouhi, Michael McCall, GR Rayat, Daniel Schiller

Bibliographic record

VenueSurgical Oncology Insight · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicGastric Cancer Management and Outcomes
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Alberta
Fundersnot available
KeywordsCancerInterval (graph theory)Overall survivalSurvival analysisTumor microenvironmentSurvival rate

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

INTRODUCTION Molecular classification in gastric cancer has identified relevant disease heterogeneity with prognostic implications. However, limited comparative analysis of molecular classification systems has occurred. We assessed the effect of the Tumour Microenvironment Score (TME), the Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and the Asian Cancer Research Group (ACRG) classification systems on disease-free interval (DFI) and disease-specific survival (DSS) in Stage I-III gastric cancer. METHODS Previously characterized machine learning models were used to assign TCGA, ACRG and TME molecular classes to stage I-III patients in the ACRG and TCGA datasets (n=523). DFI and DSS was assessed using univariable and multivariable Cox Proportional Hazards models. RESULTS A multivariable Cox model including TCGA, ACRG and TME subtypes showed that only a high TME score was associated with improved DFI (HR 0.22 [95% CI 0.10, 0.49]; p < 0.001) and DSS (HR 0.2 [95% CI 0.09-0.43]; p < 0.001). The significant effect of TME High score was maintained after sensitivity analysis that adjusted for stage, age, sex, chemotherapy, radiation, tumour location, and study (DFI: TME High HR 0.33 [95% CI 0.15, 0.73)]; p < 0.01 and DSS: TME High HR 0.21 [95% CI 0.08, 0.52)]; p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS In an integrated analysis comparing TCGA, ACRG and TME scores, a high TME score is the only independent molecular prognostic factor for DFI and DSS in non-metastatic gastric cancer. Additional investigation into implications of the heterogeneity of the TME score relative to the TCGA and ACRG classifications may yield additional insight into gastric cancer biology and treatment. Synopsis We compared the prognostic relevance of multiple molecular classification methods in gastric cancer using a previously developed machine learning model. The Tumour Microenvironment Score, which indicates an active immune microenvironment, was the only significant independent prognostic factor for disease-free interval and disease-specific survival.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.248
Threshold uncertainty score0.792

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.026
GPT teacher head0.296
Teacher spread0.270 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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