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Record W4417009636 · doi:10.1182/blood-2025-5330

Non-invasive classification & molecular subtyping of mature lymphoid neoplasms by cell-free DNA profiling

2025· article· en· W4417009636 on OpenAlexaff
Jurik Mutter, Magdalena Klánová, Nick Phillips, Takeshi Sugio, Mohammad Shahrokh Esfahani, Joseph G. Schroers‐Martin, Stefan Alig, Mark G. Hamilton, Brian J. Sworder, Benoît Tessoulin, Jan Boegeholz, Cédric Rossi, Shuyu Shi, Hitomi Hosoya, Koji Kato, Neha Mehta-Shah, David A. Russler‐Germain, Mari Olsen, Xiaoman Kang, Chih Long Liu, David M. Kurtz, Steven Le Gouill, Marek Trněný, Maximilian Diehn, Ash A. Alizadeh

Bibliographic record

VenueBlood · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicLymphoma Diagnosis and Treatment
Canadian institutionsHotel Dieu Hospital
Fundersnot available
KeywordsSubtypingLiquid biopsyGene expression profilingDNA methylationCell-free fetal DNABiopsyImmunohistochemistryCirculating tumor cellGene

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract Background: Mature lymphoid neoplasms (MLN) are currently diagnosed by integrating histopathological, immunophenotypic, cytogenetic, and molecular profiles of tumor tissue biopsies (Campo, Blood 2022; Alaggio, Leuk 2022). While genetic subtyping of DLBCL, based on mutational profiles and copy number alterations, has further advanced this classification, many cases remain unclassified (Wright, Cancer Cell 2020; Chapuy, Blood 2025). This highlights the need for additional diagnostic approaches, such as gene expression profiling (GEP) and cytogenetic methods, to capture significant biological heterogeneity. GEP has proven particularly valuable in identifying not only cell-of-origin (COO), but also high-grade B-cell lymphomas (HGBCL), offering enhanced sensitivity and the ability to detect occult rearrangements using a “dark-zone signature” (DZsig, Ennishi, JCO 2018; Alduaij, Blood 2023). However, the required tissue biopsies for GEP are invasive, carry procedural risks, and may delay diagnosis. While multi-cancer early detection (MCED) liquid biopsy tests based on methylation can allow detection of diverse solid tumors, most cancers detected by MCED when screening otherwise healthy adults are MLNs (Schrag, Lancet 2023) that cannot currently be further resolved using these tests. To overcome these limitations, we explored plasma cell-free DNA (cfDNA) as a non-invasive alternative for classifying diverse MLNs, determining COO and genetic subtypes in DLBCL, identifying genetic subtypes in HL, and detecting HGBCL. Methods: We applied EPIC-Seq (Esfahani, Nat Biotech 2022) to infer tumor gene expression from cfDNA fragmentomic signals in blood plasma before therapy. We designed a targeted capture panel informed by prior lymphoid GEP studies (n=56 studies, >10,000 tumors), including B- and T-cell differentiation markers, canonical immunohistochemistry markers, and recurrent genomic mutations and fusions for tumor burden assessment via variant allele frequency (VAF). The final panel encompassed 1,986 transcription start sites from 1,676 genes and covered 2.6 MB of genomic space. We then profiled plasma cfDNA from 748 subjects, including 666 patients across 10 lymphoid neoplasms (BL, CLL, DLBCL, FL, HL, MCL, MM, PBMCL, PTCL, WM), along with 58 healthy controls and 24 subjects with Other non-lymphoid solid tumors (carcinomas of the lung, liver, and pancreas). Results: Recognizing the influence of tumor burden on inferred tumor gene expression from plasma cfDNA, we developed a machine learning model to predict tumor mutant variant allele fraction (VAF) from EPIC-Seq data and validated it against mutation-based tumor burden measurements (Pearson R=0.96). This established a low VAF background threshold distinguishing from healthy controls (1%), below which samples were excluded for classification purposes. We then trained a multi-histology classifier on 396 patients across 10 groups (BL, CLL, DLBCL, FL, HL, MCL, MM, PTCL, Healthy, Other). Independent validation on 169 held-out samples demonstrated high individual classification accuracies and an overall top 2 accuracy of 94%. Beyond histological classification, EPIC-Seq showed high discriminatory potential for molecular HL subtypes (H1/H2, Alig, Nature 2024; AUC>0.8, p<0.0001) and accurately identified DLBCL GCB vs ABC COO subtypes (AUC>0.8, p<0.001). For genetic subtyping of DLBCL (e.g. Wright, Cancer Cell 2020; Chapuy, Blood 2025), we trained a classifier on publicly available tumor RNA-Seq data and successfully applied it to our plasma EPIC-Seq data from DLBCL patients, observing a strong concordance between EPIC-Seq inferred molecular subtypes and LymphGen mutational classifications. Finally, we evaluated cell-free DZsig in 49 LBCL patients (28% harboring MYC+BCL2 double-hit by FISH), demonstrating significant discrimination between HGBCL-DH-BCL2 and DLBCL NOS (AUC=0.75, p=0.005). As expected, DZsig scores in BL, known to originate from the dark zone, did not significantly differ from HGBCL-DH-BCL2.Conclusion: Our study demonstrates clinical feasibility and high accuracy of EPIC-Seq-based cfDNA analysis for non-invasive classification and molecular subtyping of diverse mature lymphoid neoplasms. This approach effectively addresses clinically relevant diagnostic challenges, including COO determination, genetic subtyping in DLBCL and HL, identification of HGBCL-DH-BCL2, and other high risk LBCLs harboring dark-zone signature.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.002
Threshold uncertainty score0.006

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0020.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.008
GPT teacher head0.240
Teacher spread0.232 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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