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Record W4417164098 · doi:10.1038/s41391-025-01054-8

Efficacy and safety of treatments for metastatic castration-sensitive prostate cancer: A comprehensive network meta-analysis including final ARANOTE data

2025· article· en· W4417164098 on OpenAlexaff
Neal D. Shore, Alicia K. Morgans, Noman Paracha, Eva Gallagher, Howard Thom, David Aceituno, Philip Orishaba, Stephen Stefani, Quoc-Dien Trinh, Christopher J.D. Wallis, Keith R. Abrams, Martin Boegemann

Bibliographic record

VenueProstate Cancer and Prostatic Diseases · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicProstate Cancer Treatment and Research
Canadian institutionsUniversity of TorontoUniversity Health NetworkMount Sinai Hospital
FundersNational Cancer InstituteBayer HealthCare
KeywordsProstate cancerProstateSafety profileBenign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH)ProstatectomyMEDLINE

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

BACKGROUND: Despite the proven efficacy of androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) combined with androgen receptor pathway inhibitors (ARPIs) in metastatic castration-sensitive prostate cancer (mCSPC), many patients still receive ADT monotherapy due to safety concerns. This reliance on ADT monotherapy underscores the need for education on the comparative effectiveness and safety of available therapies versus ADT. We evaluated the efficacy and safety of alternative treatment combinations, incorporating final data from the recent ARANOTE Phase III trial. METHODS: We conducted network meta-analysis (NMA) to evaluate progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS), incorporating heterogeneity assessment through subgroup analyses. Additionally, we performed a separate class effect NMA. We analysed grade 3-5 adverse events (AEs), serious AEs, and discontinuation due to AEs. We estimated hazard ratios (HRs) for efficacy, rate ratios (RRs) for safety, 95% credible intervals (CrI), and the surface under the cumulative ranking area (SUCRA) to rank treatments by efficacy and safety. RESULTS: Darolutamide (DAR) + docetaxel (DOC) + ADT showed the highest effect size [HR of 0.27 (95% CrI: 0.18, 0.39)] and the highest ranking (SUCRA: 0.97) across the base case and several subgroups on the PFS outcome. On OS, DAR + DOC + ADT similarly achieved the lowest HR of 0.52 (0.43, 0.64) and the highest ranking (SUCRA of 0.95). Safety analyses showed that grade 3-5 AEs were more frequent with docetaxel combinations, with ABI + DOC + ADT having the highest risk of grade 3-5 AEs. DAR + ADT was ranked best on all safety outcomes, outperforming other doublets and comparable to ADT monotherapy. CONCLUSIONS: This NMA supports the superior efficacy of ARPI combinations against ADT monotherapy, for both OS and PFS. While DAR + ADT demonstrated comparable efficacy to other doublet combinations, it offered a superior safety profile, making it an effective and safe option for managing patients with mCSPC.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Meta-analysis · Consensus signal: Meta-analysis
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.350
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0020.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.194
GPT teacher head0.434
Teacher spread0.240 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designMeta-analysis
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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