Knowing when to stop: insights from ecology for building catalogues, collections, and corpora
Bibliographic record
Abstract
A major locus of musicological activity-increasingly in the digital domain-is the cataloguing of sources, which requires large-scale and long-lasting research collaborations. Yet, the databases aiming at covering and representing musical repertoires are never quite complete, and scholars must contend with the question: how much are we still missing? This question structurally resembles the 'unseen species' problem in ecology, where the true number of species must be estimated from limited observations. In this case study, we apply for the first time the common Chao1 estimator to music, specifically to Gregorian chant. We find that, overall, upper bounds for repertoire coverage of the major chant genres range between 50 and 80 %. As expected, we find that Mass Propers are covered better than the Divine Office, though not overwhelmingly so. However, the accumulation curve suggests that those bounds are not tight: a stable ~5% of chants in sources indexed between 1993 and 2020 was new, so diminishing returns in terms of repertoire diversity are not yet to be expected. Our study demonstrates that these questions can be addressed empirically to inform musicological data-gathering, showing the potential of unseen species models in musicology.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.014 | 0.107 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.016 | 0.013 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.004 | 0.007 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.019 | 0.038 |
| Open science | 0.004 | 0.008 |
| Research integrity | 0.003 | 0.004 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.013 | 0.004 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".