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Record W4417442147 · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ae2e18

Borealization of tundra ecosystems with climate and land-use change

2025· article· en· W4417442147 on OpenAlexaff
Mariana Verdonen, Isabel C. Barrio, Laura Barbero-Palacios, Efrèn López‐Blanco, James D. M. Speed, Mathilde Defourneaux, Mariana García Criado, Mathilde Le Moullec, Jarad P. Mellard, Alejandro Salazar, Kristine Bakke Westergaard, Jón Guðmundsson, Niels Martin Schmidt, Bjarni D. Sigurðsson, Gunnar Austrheim, Anne D. Bjorkman, Katrín Björnsdóttir, Jane Uhd Jepsen, Emmanuel Pagneux, Beatrice M. Trascau, David Williamson, Ása L. Aradóttir, Alexandra Barry, Tanguy Bernard, Timo Kumpula, Isla H. Myers‐Smith

Bibliographic record

VenueEnvironmental Research Letters · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEarth and Planetary Sciences
TopicClimate change and permafrost
Canadian institutionsUniversity of British Columbia
FundersHorizon 2020 Framework ProgrammeNatural Environment Research CouncilNorges ForskningsrådStiftelsen för Strategisk ForskningNordForsk
KeywordsTundraEcosystemTerrestrial ecosystemTaigaClimate changeBorealAbundance (ecology)Boreal ecosystem

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract As the colder regions of the planet warm, species are moving northward and upward from the boreal forest to the tundra biome, a process that has been referred to as borealization. Here, we examine the diverse uses of the term borealization and propose the concept of ‘tundra borealization’ for terrestrial environments to specifically describe shifts and increases in abundance of boreal species into the tundra. We summarize the evidence to date for borealization of plant and animal communities in tundra ecosystems and the different approaches that can be used to quantify borealization. We discuss how land-use change is interacting with climate change, leading to species and community reorganization in colder biomes, and the consequences of borealization for food webs, ecosystem functions and northern livelihoods. Our review brings together the different definitions and lines of evidence for tundra borealization in terrestrial ecosystems to emphasize this important ecological process and rapidly evolving area of research.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.007
Threshold uncertainty score0.014

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.002
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.060
GPT teacher head0.279
Teacher spread0.219 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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