Abstract P282: First-ever Ischemic Stroke in the Very Elderly: Trends, Characteristics and Outcome in a National Registry
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background: The incidence of ischemic stroke significantly increases with age. With increasing life expectancy, very old subjects will constitute the majority of stroke patients. However, epidemiological and clinical features of very elderly patients with stroke are still uncertain. Our aim was to study the patients' characteristics, outcome and trends in the very elderly (aged ≥ 85 years) in comparison with patients aged 65–84 years with a first-ever ischemic stroke in the National Acute Stroke Israeli Survey (NASIS) registry. Methods: The NASIS registry is a nationwide prospective hospital-based study performed triennially (2004, 2007, 2010). Patients with ischemic stroke aged ≥85 years were compared with those 65–84 years old regarding their baseline characteristics, stroke severity, etiology of stroke and stroke outcomes. Stroke severity was determined according to the National Institute of Health stroke scale (NIHSS) score and functional disability using the modified Rankin scale (mRS). Logistic regression analyses were used in the comparison of outcomes adjusting for potential confounders. Trends in patients' characteristics and stroke outcome were studied. Results: A first-ever ischemic stroke was diagnosed in 3125 patients. The proportion of very elderly (≥85 years) patients among the NASIS population increased from 18.3% in 2004 to 19.9% in 2007 and 24.5% in 2010 (p=0.005). The percentage of women was higher in patients aged ≥85 years (p<0.0001). Atrial fibrillation, congestive heart disease and prior disability were significantly more prevalent in the very elderly. The very elderly presented with more severe strokes: 36.3% of the ≥85 years-old patients had NIHSS≥11 compared with 22.0% in the younger age group. Adjusted rates of in-hospital complications [OR (95% CI=1.7 (1.3–2.2)] and severe disability or death (mRS>3) [1.4 (1.0–1.9)] were increased for very elderly patients. In the analysis of trends by registry period, rates of dyslipidemia increased from 25.4% in 2004 to 63.7% in 2010 (p for trend<0.0001) and hypertension increased from 74.8% in 2004 to 90.5% in 2010 (p for trend=0.0004). A significant decrease in the rate of in-hospital mortality among the very old patients is evident: rates decreased from 18.7% in 2004 to 5.7% in 2010 (p for trend=0.0005). Conclusions: There is an increasing proportion of very elderly subjects, mostly women, among first-ever ischemic stroke patients. Current information on age specific aspects of stroke in the very elderly is crucial to set up successful prevention pathways and implementing well-organized stroke care for this population.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".