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Record W6911479108 · doi:10.5281/zenodo.11502142

CY-Bench: A comprehensive benchmark dataset for subnational crop yield forecasting

2025· dataset· en· W6911479108 on OpenAlexaff

Bibliographic record

VenueSocio-Environmental Systems Modeling · 2025
Typedataset
Languageen
Field
Topic
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Manitoba
Fundersnot available
KeywordsBenchmark (surveying)Yield (engineering)AgricultureCrop yieldFood securityIdentification (biology)

Abstract

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CY-Bench: A comprehensive benchmark dataset for sub-national crop yield forecasting Overview CY-Bench is a dataset and benchmark for subnational crop yield forecasting, with coverage of major crop growing countries of the world for maize and wheat. By subnational, we mean the administrative level where yield statistics are published. When statistics are available for multiple levels, we pick the highest resolution. The dataset combines sub-national yield statistics with relevant predictors, such as growing-season weather indicators, remote sensing indicators, evapotranspiration, soil moisture indicators, and static soil properties. CY-Bench has been designed and curated by agricultural experts, climate scientists, and machine learning researchers from the AgML Community, with the aim of facilitating model intercomparison across the diverse agricultural systems around the globe in conditions as close as possible to real-world operationalization. Ultimately, by lowering the barrier to entry for ML researchers in this crucial application area, CY-Bench will facilitate the development of improved crop forecasting tools that can be used to support decision-makers in food security planning worldwide. * Crops : Wheat & Maize* Spatial Coverage : Wheat (29 countries), Maize (38). See CY-Bench Summary for the list of countries.* Temporal Coverage : Varies. See CY-Bench Summary. Data Data format The benchmark data is organized as a collection of CSV files (with the exception of location information, see below), with each file representing a specific category of variable for a particular country. Each CSV file is named according to the category and the country it pertains to, facilitating easy identification and retrieval. The data within each CSV file is structured in tabular format, where rows represent observations and columns represent different predictors related to a category of variable. Data content All data files are provided as .csv. Data Description Variables (units) Temporal Resolution Data Source (Reference) crop_calendar start and end of growing season sos (day of the year),eos (day of the year) static World Cereal (Franch et al, 2022) crop_mask crop area fraction crop_area (km2), crop_area_percentage (%) static WorldCereal (Van Tricht et al., 2023; EC-JRC, 2024) fpar fraction of absorbed photosynthetically active radiation fpar (%) Dekadal (3 times a month; 1-10, 11-20, 21-31) European Commission's Joint Research Centre (EC-JRC, 2024) ndvi normalized difference vegetation index - approximately weekly MOD09CMG (Vermote, 2015) meteo temperature, precipitation (prec), radiation, potential evapotranspiration (et0), climatic water balance (= prec - et0) tmin (C), tmax (C), tavg (C), prec (mm0, et0 (mm), cwb (mm), rad (J m-2 day-1) daily AgERA5 (Boogaard et al, 2022) soil_moisture surface soil moisture, rootzone soil moisture ssm (kg m-2), rsm (kg m-2) daily GLDAS (Rodell et al, 2004) soil available water capacity, bulk density, drainage class awc (c m-1), bulk_density (kg dm-3), drainage class (category) static WISE Soil database (Batjes, 2016) location centroid latitude, logitude, region_area (km2) static yield end-of-season yield yield (t ha-1) yearly Various country or region specific sources (see crop_statistics_... in https://github.com/WUR-AI/AgML-CY-Bench/tree/main/data_preparation) Folder structure cybench-data: The CY-Bench dataset has been structure at first level by crop type and subsequently by country. For each country, the folder name follows the ISO 3166-1 alpha-2 two-character code. A separate .csv is available for each predictor data and crop calendar as shown below. The csv files are named to reflect the corresponding country and crop type e.g. **variable_croptype_country.csv**.```CY-Bench│└─── maize│ ││ └─── AO│ │ -- crop_calendar_maize_AO.csv│ │ -- crop_mask_maize_AO.csv│ │ -- fpar_maize_AO.cs│ │ -- location_maize_AO.csv│ │ -- meteo_maize_AO.csv│ │ -- ndvi_maize_AO.csv│ │ -- soil_maize_AO.csv│ │ -- soil_moisture_maize_AO.csv│ │ -- yield_maize_AO.csv│ │ │ └─── AR│ -- crop_calendar_maize_AR.csv│ -- crop_mask_maize_AR.csv│ -- fpar_maize_AR.csv│ -- ...│ └─── wheat│ ││ └─── AR│ │ -- crop_calendar_wheat_AR.csv│ │ -- crop_mask_wheat_AR.csv│ │ -- fpar_wheat_AR.csv│ │ ...``` Example : CSV data content for maize in country X ```X└─── crop_calendar_maize_X.csv│ -- crop_name (name of the crop)│ -- adm_id (unique identifier for a subnational unit)│ -- sos (start of crop season)│ -- eos (end of crop season)│ └─── crop_mask_maize_X.csv│ -- crop_name│ -- adm_id │ -- crop_area│ -- crop_area_percentage│ └─── fpar_maize_X.csv│ -- crop_name│ -- adm_id │ -- date (in the format YYYYMMdd)│ -- fpar│└─── location_maize_X.csv│ -- crop_name│ -- adm_id │ -- latitude│ -- longitude│ -- region_area│└─── meteo_maize_X.csv│ -- crop_name│ -- adm_id │ -- date (in the format YYYYMMdd) │ -- tmin (minimum temperature)│ -- tmax (maximum temperature)│ -- prec (precipitation)│ -- rad (radiation)│ -- tavg (average temperature)│ -- et0 (evapotranspiration)│ -- vpd (vapor pressure deficit)│ -- cwb (crop water balance)│ └─── ndvi_maize_X.csv│ -- crop_name│ -- adm_id│ -- date (in the format YYYYMMdd)│ -- ndvi │ └─── soil_maize_X.csv│ -- crop_name│ -- adm_id│ -- awc (available water capacity)│ -- bulk_density│ -- drainage_class│ └─── soil_moisture_maize_X.csv│ -- crop_name│ -- adm_id│ -- date (in the format YYYYMMdd)│ -- ssm (surface soil moisture)│ -- rsm ()│ └─── yield_maize_X.csv│ -- crop_name│ -- country_code│ -- adm_id│ -- harvest_year│ -- yield│ -- harvest_area│ -- production centroids.zip and polygons.zip include shapes or geometries as centroids ( x and y coordinates) and polygons (multipolygons) of administrative regions respectively. They are organized as follows: centroids │ └─── AO│ │ -- AO.cpg│ │ -- AO.dbf│ │ -- AO.prj│ │ -- AO.shp│ │ -- AO.shx│ └─── AR│ │ -- AR.cpg│ │ -- AR.dbf│ │ -- AR.prj│ │ -- AR.shp│ │ -- AR.shx ... polygons │ └─── AO│ │ -- AO.cpg│ │ -- AO.dbf│ │ -- AO.prj│ │ -- AO.shp│ │ -- AO.shx│ └─── AR│ │ -- AR.cpg│ │ -- AR.dbf│ │ -- AR.prj│ │ -- AR.shp│ │ -- AR.shx ... Data access The full dataset can be downloaded directly from Zenodo or using the ```zenodo_get``` library License and citation We kindly ask all users of CY-Bench to properly respect licensing and citation conditions of the datasets included. Version Notes 1.0 is the dataset submitted to NeurIPS Datasets and Benchmarks Track. The paper and discussions are here: https://openreview.net/forum?id=jkJDNG468g#discussion 1.1 and 1.2 fix some issues with column names and mismatches in adm_id between yield data and input data. 1.3 includes location information in the form of centroids and polygons of admin regions. 1.4 updates the fpar data for 2023. fpar data was incomplete for 2023 in earlier versions (due to unavailability in the data source itself). 1.5 fixes an issue in crop calendar 1.6 fixes an issue in ndvi time series 1.7 updates storage precision to 3 decimal places to reduce data size 1.8 filter out invalid yield values 1.9 Add vpd. Add location. ET0 obtained from AgERA5 (was AQUASTAT-FAO ). Use AgERA5 2.0 (was AgERA5 1.1) 1.10 Add region_are to location*.csv. Add crop_mask_*.csv. Fix error in yield Australia.

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How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow), Science and technology studies
Consensus categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow)
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Dataset · Consensus signal: Dataset
Teacher disagreement score0.137
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.002
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0020.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.000
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.001
Open science0.0020.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.079
GPT teacher head0.287
Teacher spread0.208 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; both teacher heads agree on what is shown here.

Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreDataset

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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