Coastal Labrador peatland permafrost inventory
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Northern peatlands cover approximately four million km², and about half of these peatlands are estimated to contain permafrost and periglacial landforms, like palsas and peat plateaus. Peatland permafrost environments are known to be sensitive to climate warming and ecosystem modifications, so understanding the distribution of these ice-rich landforms is important for predicting thermokarst potential, hydrological and vegetation change, and carbon cycling activities. We applied a multi-stage consensus-based approach to develop a first inventory of peatland permafrost complexes in Labrador, spanning from 51 to 61°N, with a focus on the area within 100 km of the Labrador Sea and Gulf of St. Lawrence coastline. A team of three mappers identified a total of 2092 prospective peatland permafrost complexes in coastal Labrador and adjacent parts of Quebec using high-resolution satellite imagery available via Esri ArcGIS Online (Maxar Vivid imagery, 0.5 m spatial resolution, 5 m spatial accuracy, imagery acquisition dates 2010-2020) (Esri, 2022). Each prospective peatland permafrost complex was subsequently reviewed by two of the three mappers into classes of likely, possible, and unlikely peatland permafrost complexes. Prospective complexes that were evaluated by both reviewers as containing peatland permafrost were classified as likely peatland permafrost complexes, while prospective complexes with conflicting evaluations were classified as possible peatland permafrost complexes. Interpretation of peatland permafrost presence or absence was supported by field and imagery-based validation efforts at 557 prospective peatland permafrost locations, 331 of which contained peatland permafrost. Out of 2092 initial wetland complexes, 1120 were interpreted as likely containing peatland permafrost, and 186 were interpreted as possibly containing peatland permafrost. Likely peatland permafrost complexes were mostly found in lowlands within 22 km of the coastline, in locations with corresponding mean annual air temperatures of up to +1.2 °C (1980-2010). These inventory results provide an important baseline for future mapping, modelling, and climate change adaptation strategy development for the region. Updated versions of the inventory will continue to be made available. Esri. (2023). World Imagery, https://www.arcgis.com/home/item.html?id=10df2279f9684e4a9f6a7f08febac2a9. Accessed from September 2020 to June 2023.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.220 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; both teacher heads agree on what is shown here.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".