HEALTHCARE SERVICE UTILIZATION IN THE LAST 2 WEEKS OF LIFE: A POPULATION-BASED COHORT STUDY OF ONTARIO DECEDENTS
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background: Place of death is a commonly reported indicator for assessing palliative care quality, but does not provide details of healthcare service utilization at the end-of-life, such as acute care. In particular, early palliative care has shown to reduce acute care service use, but findings are mostly limited to cancer patients with few population-based data available. Objectives: The purpose of this research is to: 1) explore place of care trajectories in the last 2 weeks of life in a general population and among distinct illness cohorts, and 2) investigate whether early versus late palliative care affects acute care use and other publically-funded services in the last 2 weeks of life. Research Design: A retrospective population-based cohort study using linked administrative health data to examine all Ontario decedents between April 1st, 2010 and December 31st, 2012. Methods: Descriptive statistics were used to examine place of care trajectories and service utilization trends in the last 2 weeks of life. Multivariable logistic regression analyses were conducted to assess in the 2 weeks before death: 1) the odds of using an acute care setting (yes/no), and 2) the odds of time spent (≤1 week or >1week) in acute care settings among users. Results: Overall, 235,159 decedents were identified. About 32% had cancer, 31% had organ failure, and 29% had frailty. Overall, 29% of decedents used a hospital two weeks before death, but this increased to 61% on the day of death. Those with cancer were the largest users of palliative-acute hospital care, while those with organ failure were the largest users of acute- hospital care. Assessing palliative care timing, 27% were early palliative care recipients, 13% were late. About 45% of early recipients had a community-based palliative care initiation, 74% of late recipients had a hospital-based initiation. Late recipients were more likely to use acute care settings; this was further modified by disease: comparing late to early recipients, cancer decedents were nearly two times more likely to spend >1 week in acute care settings (OR=1.84, 95%CI:1.83-1.85), frailty decedents were three times more likely (OR=3.04, 95%CI:3.01-3.07), and organ failure decedents were four times more likely (OR=4.04, 95%CI:4.02-4.06). Conclusion: Place of care trajectories differ greatly by disease cohort. Exploring place of care trajectories can provide details not evident when reporting solely place of death. Furthermore, early palliative care was associated with reduced acute care service use in cancer and non-cancer patients. Late initiations were associated with greater acute care use, and had the largest effect on those with organ failure and frailty, suggesting potential opportunities for improvement in non- cancer populations.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".