What's In That Scat: An Analysis of Canada Lynx Diet and Distribution in the North Cascades Ecosystem
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
This research provides critical information on the diet and distribution of the elusive North Cascades lynx population. Canada lynx (Lynx canadensis) are considered threatened under the federal Endangered Species Act and are the focus of protection efforts by the state of Washington as a result of climate change, heightened competition, and human interference. I analyzed the diet and distribution of both lynx and coyote (Canis latrans) in the North Cascades to determine whether there was an overlap of prey and habitat that could constrain lynx restoration. During the summer of 2020, the hiking trails in the North Cascades National Park in Washington state were surveyed by the Cascades Carnivore Project (CCP) to collect the scats of rare carnivores. 428 scats were sent to the Quantitative Wildlife Ecology and Conservation Laboratory at OSU to be DNA analyzed for predator and prey species. Of these, 276 were Canada lynx; 97 were coyote, a potential prey and habitat competitor for lynx. I constructed the diet of lynx and coyote and compared the proportional representation of prey species using the chi squared test of independence. To analyze lynx distribution, I created visual representation of scat collection elevations and cover-types and compared the elevations of lynx and coyote scats using the variance test and 2-sample T-test. The data suggest that the diet of lynx in Washington is specialized, consisting of 78% snowshoe hare (Lepus americanus), similar to diets described for lynx populations in other regions. In contrast, the diets of the coyotes were more general, but the two predators possess a 14-species overlap in diet. Lynx also specialize by using a smaller range of elevations (4000-8000 ft) than the range of the coyote which overlapped and extended wider and more variable elevations (2000-9000 ft) that included areas with less tree cover. Coyote overlap of lynx diet and habitat, compounded by high coyote abundance, suggest coyotes may be a limiting factor in lynx restoration.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it