Atlantic Flyway Review: Spring 1998
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Perhaps we should have known better than to initiate a spring migration banding cooperative reporting project during El Nino! Spring migration 1998 was almost a nonevent, ornithologically speaking.Almost every banding station reported a disappointing, even disastrous banding season.At Braddock Bay, at an open house in celebration of International Migratory Bird Day, with over 5o visitors present, during what should have been the peak of migration, we caught just three birds during 168 net hours, and two of these were retraps!The number of birds banded during spring at the stations reporting results for both 1997 and 1998 dropped from 15,464 to 8,970.The number of species dropped from an average of 68.5 in 1997 to 55.8 in 1998.Birds/100 net hour ratios dropped from 61.1 in 97 to 41.5 in '98.While this was not the "Silent Spring" we all fear, it was puzzling, and banders spent many hours theorizing on the reasons for their empty nets.Most blamed El Nifo.During the peak May migration period, there were a series of days with winds from the wrong direction and 3oo miles of rain to the south.This may have caused migrants to either fly ahead of the bad weather or stall where they were and then fly on by when the weather finally broke, or take slightly different migration paths than normal.Birds appeared on breeding territory in normal numbers and right on schedule.They just never stopped en-route at any banding stations!We also might have expected that more stations would have captured some of the northward-bound winter finches from the masses that invaded during the winter of 1997-98.But only Hebron reported any of these species in any numbers.Sixteen banding stations reported for this initial Spring Atlantic Flyway Review.We are interested in adding additional stations.I will send instructions and a reporting form to anyone who would like to contribute to this cooperative migration monitoring Page 148 report.Many thanks to all those banders, assistants, and to the many volunteers who contributed their time and effort to this project.A list of the most commonly banded species at each station appears in the narrative for that station.Lewiston Niagara County, NY
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.005 | 0.007 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.051 | 0.014 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".